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Bulgaria First League · Full time ·Matchday 10

Dunav Ruse vs Botev Vratsa

2 – 2 Full time

9′jordan louis saint
30′Vladislav Naydenov
36′Alexander Valiño Navasal
41′Iliya Yurukov
43′Radoslav Apostolov
45′Sainey Sanyang
46′Antoan StoyanovMartin Smolenski
46′Vladislav NaydenovFilip gigov
46′Radoslav ApostolovStefan Gavrilov
46′Mario dilchovskiStojan Predev
52′jose cabarcas
64′dimitar todorovAndre Alves
65′Radoslav Tsonev
73′Jose GallegosDaniel Genov
74′jordan louis saintIlker Budinov
74′Kristiyan BoychevElie Sou
80′Ilker Budinov
84′Iliya YurukovKassim Hadji
89′Kassim Hadji
90′Radoslav Tsonevabdullah kichukov

Gradski Stadium, RuseReferee: Lyuboslav Lyubomirov

Dunav Ruse 34%
Draw 30%
Botev Vratsa 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

7 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 5
44 Possession % 56
1 Corners 3

Dunav Ruse vs Botev Vratsa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Dunav Ruse vs Botev Vratsa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDunav RuseDrawBotev Vratsa
Model37.1%28.2%34.7%
Market33.2%29.9%36.9%
Final34.1%29.5%36.3%
Edge+3.9%-1.7%-2.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Botev Vratsa

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Dunav Ruse ↓ / Botev Vratsa → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 1 8% 13% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Dunav Ruse and Botev Vratsa expected goals

Dunav Ruse 1.38
Botev Vratsa 1.32

Total expected goals: 2.70

Dunav Ruse and Botev Vratsa attack and defence ratings

Dunav Ruse

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Botev Vratsa

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Dunav Ruse vs Botev Vratsa: result vs prediction

Dunav Ruse 2 – 2 Botev Vratsa

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Bulgaria First League

Before and after this match

Dunav Ruse vs Botev Vratsa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Botev Vratsa 36.3% 2.75 -2.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.7% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.1% 1.78 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.5% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.3% 1.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Dunav Ruse34.1%
Draw29.5%
Botev Vratsa36.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.7%
Under 2.549.3%
Both teams to scoreYes56.1%
No43.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.7%
12 (either side)70.5%
X2 (draw or away)65.9%
Handicap -1Botev Vratsa win16.0%
Push (exactly one goal)18.6%
Loss65.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.5%
2-18.4%
1-28.1%

Dunav Ruse vs Botev Vratsa stats

Dunav Ruse and Botev Vratsa recent form

newest first
Dunav Ruse LLDLWL
Botev Vratsa DWLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Dunav Ruse and Botev Vratsa going into this match

league record before kick-off

Dunav Ruse record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Botev Vratsa record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Dunav Ruse vs Botev Vratsa head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Dunav Ruse wins 3Draws 2Botev Vratsa wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2020-07-06Botev VratsaDunav RuseFirst League0-0
2020-06-29Dunav RuseBotev VratsaFirst League1-3
2020-02-29Dunav RuseBotev VratsaFirst League0-0
2019-09-21Botev VratsaDunav RuseFirst League0-0
2018-11-11Botev VratsaDunav RuseFirst League1-0
2018-07-27Dunav RuseBotev VratsaFirst League3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Dunav Ruse vs Botev Vratsa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.2%, draw 29.9%, away 36.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.78 3.08 2.49
Bet365 2.80 3.20 2.55
BetVictor 2.80 3.13 2.60
Betano 2.77 3.05 2.55
Betfair 2.70 3.00 2.50
Marathonbet 2.79 3.08 2.48
Pinnacle 2.92 3.15 2.57
SBO 2.48 2.83 2.41
William Hill 2.70 2.90 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.78 ▲ +0.28
X 3.08 ▲ +0.03
2 2.50 ▼ -0.25

14 snapshots recorded, from .