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Bulgaria First League · Full time ·Matchday 10

Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948

1 – 2 Full time

21′Lasha Dvali
30′Ivan Minchev
40′Aleks Bozhev
41′Ivan Minchev
46′Borislav TsonevElias Correa Franco
46′Hector CuellarAndre Hoffmann
50′Georgi Rusev
65′vasil kazaldzhievumaro balde
65′Emil StoevRoberto Iliev Raychev
65′Jordan Semedo VarelaLazar Marin
71′Mamadou DialloAtanas Iliev
71′Frederic MacielJules Meyer
74′Ognjen GasevicDragan Grivić
75′Kristiyan Stoyanovmouhamed dosso
77′mouhamed dosso
85′CSKA 1948

Stadion Slavia, SofiaReferee: Radoslav Gidzhenov

Slavia Sofia 23%
Draw 30%
CSKA 1948 48%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
46 Possession % 54
6 Corners 2

Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySlavia SofiaDrawCSKA 1948
Model28.8%35.4%35.9%
Market20.4%27.9%51.7%
Final22.5%29.8%47.7%
Edge+8.3%+7.5%-15.8%

Confidence: Low

Why CSKA 1948

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Slavia Sofia ↓ / CSKA 1948 → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 18% 15% 1 12% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 82%
2+ goals 55%
3+ goals 27%
No goals 18%

Slavia Sofia and CSKA 1948 expected goals

Slavia Sofia 0.84
CSKA 1948 0.97

Total expected goals: 1.81

Slavia Sofia and CSKA 1948 attack and defence ratings

Slavia Sofia

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.80 -20%

CSKA 1948

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948: result vs prediction

Slavia Sofia 1 – 2 CSKA 1948

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Bulgaria First League

Before and after this match

Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CSKA 1948 47.7% 2.10 -15.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 72.9% 1.37 — —
Both teams to score No 63.5% 1.58 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 77.5% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.1% 1.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Slavia Sofia22.5%
Draw29.8%
CSKA 194847.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.527.1%
Under 2.572.9%
Both teams to scoreYes36.5%
No63.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)52.3%
12 (either side)70.2%
X2 (draw or away)77.5%
Handicap -1CSKA 1948 win13.9%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss64.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.8%
1-114.7%
0-114.6%

Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948 stats

Slavia Sofia and CSKA 1948 recent form

newest first
Slavia Sofia DWLDDW
CSKA 1948 WLWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Slavia Sofia and CSKA 1948 going into this match

league record before kick-off

Slavia Sofia record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.6 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.

CSKA 1948 record

  • They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948 head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Slavia Sofia wins 2Draws 7CSKA 1948 wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-27Slavia SofiaCSKA 1948Bulgaria First League0-2
2025-12-13Slavia SofiaCSKA 1948Cup2-3
2025-09-15CSKA 1948Slavia SofiaBulgaria First League3-1
2025-05-02Slavia SofiaCSKA 1948First League0-1
2025-02-17Slavia SofiaCSKA 1948First League1-1
2024-08-25CSKA 1948Slavia SofiaFirst League2-0
2024-05-27Slavia SofiaCSKA 1948First League0-2
2024-05-10CSKA 1948Slavia SofiaFirst League0-2
2024-02-25CSKA 1948Slavia SofiaFirst League1-1
2023-08-28Slavia SofiaCSKA 1948First League0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 20.4%, draw 27.9%, away 51.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.56 3.30 1.80
Bet365 4.50 3.50 1.80
BetVictor 4.75 3.60 1.75
Betano 4.50 3.25 1.82
Betfair 4.20 3.40 1.75
Marathonbet 4.55 3.30 1.78
Pinnacle 3.98 3.21 2.05
SBO 3.91 3.10 1.76
William Hill 4.50 3.10 1.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.50 ▲ +0.62
X 3.30 ▼ -0.05
2 1.78 ▼ -0.11

14 snapshots recorded, from .