Bulgaria First League · Full time ·Matchday 9

Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna

0 – 0 Full time

46′Roberto Iliev Raychevumaro balde
50′Angel Granchov
60′Boubacar Hanne
65′David Malembana
65′Kristiyan StoyanovVladimir Nikolov
66′anton ivanovangel gomes
66′David ValverdeDeyan Lozev
74′Ivan Minchevmouhamed dosso
75′Ahmed AhmedovOkoh chidera
75′Tomas SilvaJoao Lopes
80′Diego Ferraresso
81′yoan bornosuzovemilian gogev
81′Emil Stoevvasil kazaldzhiev
86′Boubacar HanneTsvetelin Chunchukov

Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, SofiaReferee: G. Kabakov

Slavia Sofia 46%
Draw 29%
Spartak Varna 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

6 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 6
59 Possession % 41
9 Corners 3

Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySlavia SofiaDrawSpartak Varna
Model46.7%29.3%24.0%
Market45.8%29.1%25.1%
Final46.0%29.1%24.8%
Edge+0.9%+0.3%-1.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Slavia Sofia

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 0.96.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Slavia Sofia ↓ / Spartak Varna → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 8% 1 12% 14% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Slavia Sofia and Spartak Varna expected goals

Slavia Sofia 1.43
Spartak Varna 0.96

Total expected goals: 2.38

Slavia Sofia and Spartak Varna attack and defence ratings

Slavia Sofia

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Spartak Varna

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna: result vs prediction

Slavia Sofia 0 – 0 Spartak Varna

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Bulgaria First League

Before and after this match

Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Slavia Sofia 46.0% 2.17 +0.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.4% 1.74 — —
Both teams to score No 52.0% 1.92 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.2% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.3% 1.88 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Slavia Sofia46.0%
Draw29.1%
Spartak Varna24.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.6%
Under 2.557.4%
Both teams to scoreYes48.0%
No52.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.2%
12 (either side)70.9%
X2 (draw or away)54.0%
Handicap -1Slavia Sofia win23.5%
Push (exactly one goal)23.2%
Loss53.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
1-011.9%
0-010.5%

Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna stats

Slavia Sofia and Spartak Varna recent form

newest first
Slavia Sofia WLDDWD
Spartak Varna DDLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Slavia Sofia and Spartak Varna going into this match

league record before kick-off

Slavia Sofia record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.

Spartak Varna record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Slavia Sofia wins 2Draws 2Spartak Varna wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10Spartak VarnaSlavia SofiaBulgaria First League2-1
2026-03-06Slavia SofiaSpartak VarnaBulgaria First League4-0
2025-09-28Spartak VarnaSlavia SofiaBulgaria First League1-1
2024-12-09Spartak VarnaSlavia SofiaFirst League1-3
2024-08-09Slavia SofiaSpartak VarnaFirst League3-1
2022-10-30Slavia SofiaSpartak VarnaFirst League2-2
2022-07-11Spartak VarnaSlavia SofiaFirst League0-1
2022-06-19Slavia SofiaSpartak VarnaFriendlies Clubs1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.7%, draw 29.1%, away 25.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.05 3.18 3.69
Bet365 1.95 3.50 3.75
BetVictor 2.05 3.25 3.80
Betano 2.02 3.20 3.65
Betfair 2.00 3.10 3.50
Marathonbet 2.03 3.18 3.68
Pinnacle 2.05 3.27 3.88
SBO 1.97 2.99 3.26
Unibet 2.28 3.15 3.25
William Hill 2.00 3.00 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.02 ▼ -0.06
X 3.18 ▼ -0.02
2 3.68 ▲ +0.20

13 snapshots recorded, from .