Bulgaria First League
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Cherno More Varna
vs
Lokomotiv Sofia
2 – 2 Full time
| 6′ | celso sidney | ||
| 15′ | Angel Lyaskov | ||
| 34′ | Krasimir Stanoev | ||
| 37′ | Idris·Bounaas | ||
| 45′ | Bozhidar Katsarov | ||
| 46′ | Ivan YordanovRyan Bidounga | ||
| 46′ | Georgi MinchevDimitar Kostadinov | ||
| 46′ | Reyan DaskalovAntonio Miguel Tavares Eiro de Carvalho | ||
| 57′ | Christian Tomov | ||
| 58′ | celso sidneyPetar Dimitrov Andreev | ||
| 58′ | Idris·BounaasIvan·Tasev | ||
| 61′ | caruzo caueAnte Aralica | ||
| 62′ | Ventsislav Kerchev | ||
| 64′ | Ante Aralica | ||
| 69′ | Asen Donchev | ||
| 77′ | Dimitar Kostadinov | ||
| 78′ | Kaloyan Kostovnikola neychev | ||
| 79′ | Petar Dimitrov AndreevMiguel barandas | ||
| 79′ | Mohamed Achi BouaklinePadilla Jorge | ||
| 86′ | Ventsislav Kerchevbandaro joao | ||
| 87′ | Ante Aralica | ||
| 90′ | georgi lazarov |
Cherno More Varna
44%
Draw
26%
Lokomotiv Sofia
30%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia
| Probability | Cherno More Varna | Draw | Lokomotiv Sofia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.0% | 24.3% | 38.7% |
| Market | 46.4% | 26.7% | 26.9% |
| Final | 44.1% | 26.1% | 29.9% |
| Edge | -9.4% | -2.4% | +11.8% |
Why Cherno More Varna
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
67%
No goals
4%
Cherno More Varna and Lokomotiv Sofia expected goals
Cherno More Varna
1.71
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.75
Total expected goals: 3.46
Cherno More Varna and Lokomotiv Sofia attack and defence ratings
Cherno More Varna
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
1.55 +55%
Lokomotiv Sofia
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
1.44 +44%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia: result vs prediction
Cherno More Varna 2 – 2 Lokomotiv Sofia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cherno More Varna | 44.1% | 2.27 | -9.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cherno More Varna | 44.1% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Lokomotiv Sofia | 29.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.7% |
| No | 31.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cherno More Varna win | 19.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.6% | |
| Loss | 63.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 1-2 | 8.2% | |
| 2-1 | 8.0% |
Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia stats
Cherno More Varna and Lokomotiv Sofia recent form
| Cherno More Varna |
LLWLLL |
| Lokomotiv Sofia |
LDLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cherno More Varna and Lokomotiv Sofia going into this match
Cherno More Varna record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lokomotiv Sofia record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Cherno More Varna wins
3Draws
2Lokomotiv Sofia wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | Cherno More Varna | Lokomotiv Sofia | Bulgaria First League | 0-1 |
| 2025-07-18 | Lokomotiv Sofia | Cherno More Varna | Bulgaria First League | 1-1 |
| 2024-12-03 | Cherno More Varna | Lokomotiv Sofia | First League | 4-0 |
| 2024-08-04 | Lokomotiv Sofia | Cherno More Varna | First League | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-04 | Cherno More Varna | Lokomotiv Sofia | First League | 3-0 |
| 2023-10-01 | Lokomotiv Sofia | Cherno More Varna | First League | 0-0 |
| 2022-10-29 | Cherno More Varna | Lokomotiv Sofia | First League | 2-1 |
| 2022-07-10 | Lokomotiv Sofia | Cherno More Varna | First League | 0-1 |
| 2022-02-27 | Lokomotiv Sofia | Cherno More Varna | First League | 0-3 |
| 2021-09-18 | Cherno More Varna | Lokomotiv Sofia | First League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.3%, draw 26.8%, away 26.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.02 | 3.46 | 3.45 |
| 888Sport | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.35 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.02 | 3.45 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.00 | 3.46 | 3.44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.05 | 3.66 | 3.45 |
| SBO | 1.98 | 2.97 | 3.05 |
| Superbet | 2.02 | 3.35 | 3.45 |
| Unibet | 2.14 | 3.45 | 3.25 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.00 ▼ -0.08
X
3.48 ▲ +0.08
2
3.45 ▲ +0.22
14 snapshots recorded, from .