Bulgaria First League · Full time ·Matchday 9

CSKA 1948 vs Dunav Ruse

2 – 1 Full time

4′Mamadou Diallo
24′Vladan Vidaković
46′Frederic MacielBrian Sobrero
46′jordan louis saint
66′Vladan VidakovićStefan Gavrilov
72′Mamadou DialloElias Correa Franco
73′Jules MeyerBorislav Tsonev
79′Kristiyan BoychevElie Sou
79′Alexander Valiño NavasalIbrahim Keita
80′Moataz ZemzemiFlorian Krebs
80′Diego MedinaDragan Grivić
89′dimitar todorov
90′Dragan Grivić
90′Radoslav Apostolovcharles appiah
90′denislav minchevIlker Budinov
90′jose cabarcas

Bistritsa Stadium, SofiaReferee: V. Minev

CSKA 1948 67%
Draw 21%
Dunav Ruse 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 5
56 Possession % 44
7 Corners 7

CSKA 1948 vs Dunav Ruse overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CSKA 1948 vs Dunav Ruse

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCSKA 1948DrawDunav Ruse
Model64.7%23.1%12.2%
Market67.8%19.9%12.3%
Final67.0%20.7%12.3%
Edge-3.1%+3.2%-0.1%

Confidence: Low

Why CSKA 1948

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 0.71.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CSKA 1948 ↓ / Dunav Ruse → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 13% 11% 2 13% 9% 3 8% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

CSKA 1948 and Dunav Ruse expected goals

CSKA 1948 1.90
Dunav Ruse 0.71

Total expected goals: 2.62

CSKA 1948 and Dunav Ruse attack and defence ratings

CSKA 1948

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Dunav Ruse

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.34 +34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CSKA 1948 vs Dunav Ruse: result vs prediction

CSKA 1948 2 – 1 Dunav Ruse

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Bulgaria First League

Before and after this match

CSKA 1948 vs Dunav Ruse markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CSKA 1948 67.0% 1.49 -3.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.4% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score No 55.7% 1.80 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.7% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 CSKA 1948 win 39.9% 2.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CSKA 194867.0%
Draw20.7%
Dunav Ruse12.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.6%
Under 2.551.4%
Both teams to scoreYes44.3%
No55.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.7%
12 (either side)79.3%
X2 (draw or away)33.0%
Handicap -1CSKA 1948 win39.9%
Push (exactly one goal)24.7%
Loss35.3%
Correct score (top 3)2-013.3%
1-012.9%
1-110.9%

CSKA 1948 vs Dunav Ruse stats

CSKA 1948 and Dunav Ruse recent form

newest first
CSKA 1948 LWLWLW
Dunav Ruse LDLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CSKA 1948 and Dunav Ruse going into this match

league record before kick-off

CSKA 1948 record

  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Dunav Ruse record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CSKA 1948 vs Dunav Ruse head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1CSKA 1948 wins 0Draws 0Dunav Ruse wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2019-09-26CSKA 1948Dunav RuseCup2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CSKA 1948 vs Dunav Ruse odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 67.9%, draw 19.8%, away 12.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.35 4.60 8.70
Bet365 1.36 4.75 8.00
BetVictor 1.36 5.00 8.00
Betano 1.37 4.65 7.40
Betfair 1.30 4.75 7.50
Dafabet 1.36 4.80 7.40
Marathonbet 1.34 4.60 8.70
Pinnacle 1.41 4.63 7.48
SBO 1.32 4.28 6.47
Unibet 1.38 4.70 8.00
William Hill 1.36 4.20 7.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.36 ▲ +0.05
X 4.63 ▼ -0.47
2 7.50 ▼ -1.25

13 snapshots recorded, from .