Bulgaria First League · 2026-09-07T17:30:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 8

Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia

0 – 1 Full time

10′			Kyriakos Antoniou
13′			Alexander Valiño Navasal
22′			Radoslav Apostolov
35′			Vladimir Nikolov
41′			David Malembana
45′			Vladimir Miletic
63′			Kristiyan Stoyanovyoan bornosuzov
66′			yoan bornosuzov
68′			Stefan Gavrilovdenislav minchev
76′			Vladimir Miletic
81′			Roberto Iliev Raychevmouhamed dosso
81′			Vladimir Mileticumaro balde
82′			Vladan Vidakovićcharles appiah
82′			jordan louis saintIbrahim Keita
89′			dimitar todorov
90′			Emil StoevBoris todorov
90′			Vladimir Nikolovvasil kazaldzhiev

Gradski stadion, RuseReferee: G. Stoyanov

Dunav Ruse

35%

Draw

30%

Slavia Sofia

35%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

7	Shots	14
1	Shots on target	3
39	Possession %	61
7	Corners	8

Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Dunav Ruse	Draw	Slavia Sofia
Model	32.3%	29.7%	38.0%
Market	35.7%	30.5%	33.8%
Final	34.8%	30.3%	34.9%
Edge	-3.3%	-0.8%	+4.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Slavia Sofia

The market prices Slavia Sofia below the model: +4.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

90%

2+ goals

72%

3+ goals

45%

No goals

10%

Dunav Ruse and Slavia Sofia expected goals

Dunav Ruse

1.18

Slavia Sofia

1.30

Total expected goals: 2.48

Dunav Ruse and Slavia Sofia attack and defence ratings

Dunav Ruse

Attack

0.96 -4%

Defence

1.41 +41%

Slavia Sofia

Attack

0.87 -13%

Defence

0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia: result vs prediction

Dunav Ruse 0 – 1 Slavia Sofia

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Bulgaria First League

Septemvri Sofia v Botev Vratsa — match page · 2026-09-04
Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv — team news & stats · 2026-09-04
Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia · 2026-09-05
Levski Sofia v CSKA 1948 — match page · 2026-09-05
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna — team news & stats · 2026-09-06
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets · 2026-09-06

Before and after this match

Dunav Ruse, previous: Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Sofia: odds and pick
Dunav Ruse, next: CSKA 1948 vs Dunav Ruse: odds and pick
Slavia Sofia, previous: Slavia Sofia – Levski Sofia, 2026-09-02
Slavia Sofia, next: Slavia Sofia – Spartak Varna, 2026-09-13

Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Slavia Sofia	34.9%	2.87	+4.2%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	54.9%	1.82	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	51.7%	1.94	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	69.7%	1.43	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	62.0%	1.61	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Dunav Ruse	34.8%
	Draw	30.3%
	Slavia Sofia	34.9%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	45.1%
	Under 2.5	54.9%
Both teams to score	Yes	51.7%
	No	48.3%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	65.1%
	12 (either side)	69.7%
	X2 (draw or away)	65.2%
Handicap -1	Slavia Sofia win	17.7%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.4%
	Loss	62.0%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.1%
	0-0	9.7%
	0-1	9.6%

Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia stats

Dunav Ruse and Slavia Sofia recent form

newest first

Dunav Ruse	DLWLLL
Slavia Sofia	LDDWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Dunav Ruse and Slavia Sofia going into this match

league record before kick-off

Dunav Ruse record

They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Slavia Sofia record

They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.

Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Dunav Ruse wins 2Draws 3Slavia Sofia wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2020-02-24	Slavia Sofia	Dunav Ruse	First League	3-1
2019-09-15	Dunav Ruse	Slavia Sofia	First League	0-0
2019-05-03	Dunav Ruse	Slavia Sofia	First League	0-1
2019-04-12	Slavia Sofia	Dunav Ruse	First League	3-5
2018-12-06	Dunav Ruse	Slavia Sofia	First League	1-1
2018-08-17	Slavia Sofia	Dunav Ruse	First League	2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.7%, draw 30.5%, away 33.8%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.60	3.10	2.60
1xBet	2.60	3.04	2.74
Bet365	2.62	3.10	2.75
BetVictor	2.63	3.10	2.80
Betano	2.62	2.95	2.75
Betfair	2.60	3.00	2.60
Dafabet	2.60	3.05	2.80
Marathonbet	2.60	3.04	2.74
Pinnacle	2.64	3.13	2.84
SBO	2.46	2.83	2.56
Superbet	2.60	3.00	2.77
Unibet	2.75	3.05	2.55
William Hill	2.50	2.90	2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.60 ▼ -0.11

X 3.04 ▼ -0.21

2 2.74 ▲ +0.29

17 snapshots recorded, from 2026-08-30T20:10:18Z.