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Bulgaria First League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Slavia Sofia vs Levski Sofia

1 – 2 Full time

32′M. MoubarikC. Makoun
40′N. SerafimovM. Grujic
45′Vladimir Miletic
46′A. MitkovMaicon
57′E. Stoev
67′I. MinchevK. Stoyanov
67′R. RaychevU. Balde
67′A. CentellesA. Oko-Flex
67′D. KussoJ. Perea
70′A. Oko-Flex
74′E. StoevV. Kazaldzhiev
74′V. MileticL. Marin
75′J. Perea
82′vasil kazaldzhiev
82′V. NikolovY. Bornosuzov
90′Slavia Sofia

Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, SofiaReferee: L. Lyubomirov

Slavia Sofia 14%
Draw 24%
Levski Sofia 62%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

4 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
37 Possession % 63
2 Corners 4

Slavia Sofia vs Levski Sofia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Slavia Sofia vs Levski Sofia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySlavia SofiaDrawLevski Sofia
Model22.1%29.9%48.1%
Market11.4%21.5%67.2%
Final14.1%23.6%62.4%
Edge+10.7%+8.4%-19.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Levski Sofia

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 0.87.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Slavia Sofia ↓ / Levski Sofia → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 13% 10% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Slavia Sofia and Levski Sofia expected goals

Slavia Sofia 0.87
Levski Sofia 1.40

Total expected goals: 2.26

Slavia Sofia and Levski Sofia attack and defence ratings

Slavia Sofia

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Levski Sofia

Attack 1.51 +51%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Slavia Sofia vs Levski Sofia: result vs prediction

Slavia Sofia 1 – 2 Levski Sofia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Bulgaria First League

Before and after this match

Slavia Sofia vs Levski Sofia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Levski Sofia 62.4% 1.60 -19.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.5% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score No 55.1% 1.82 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 85.9% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.9% 1.93 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Slavia Sofia14.1%
Draw23.6%
Levski Sofia62.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.5%
Under 2.560.5%
Both teams to scoreYes44.9%
No55.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)37.6%
12 (either side)76.4%
X2 (draw or away)85.9%
Handicap -1Levski Sofia win24.1%
Push (exactly one goal)24.0%
Loss51.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
0-113.3%
0-011.6%

Slavia Sofia vs Levski Sofia stats

Slavia Sofia and Levski Sofia recent form

newest first
Slavia Sofia DDWDLD
Levski Sofia WLWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Slavia Sofia and Levski Sofia going into this match

league record before kick-off

Slavia Sofia record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.

Levski Sofia record

  • They have won 8 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 8 matches.

Slavia Sofia vs Levski Sofia head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Slavia Sofia wins 1Draws 6Levski Sofia wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-04Slavia SofiaLevski SofiaBulgaria First League2-0
2025-08-03Levski SofiaSlavia SofiaBulgaria First League2-0
2025-03-09Levski SofiaSlavia SofiaFirst League3-3
2024-09-22Slavia SofiaLevski SofiaFirst League0-1
2024-03-29Levski SofiaSlavia SofiaFirst League2-0
2023-09-27Slavia SofiaLevski SofiaFirst League0-2
2022-11-12Levski SofiaSlavia SofiaFirst League1-2
2022-10-12Slavia SofiaLevski SofiaFirst League2-1
2022-05-19Slavia SofiaLevski SofiaFirst League1-2
2021-11-06Slavia SofiaLevski SofiaFirst League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Slavia Sofia vs Levski Sofia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 11.7%, draw 21.5%, away 66.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 9.20 4.10 1.33
1xBet 8.20 4.30 1.39
888Sport 7.00 4.00 1.40
Bet365 11.00 4.75 1.33
BetVictor 8.50 4.40 1.40
Betano 7.70 4.10 1.42
Betfair 8.50 4.40 1.30
Dafabet 7.60 4.40 1.41
Marathonbet 7.60 4.30 1.40
Pinnacle 8.25 4.46 1.40
SBO 7.24 4.35 1.29
Superbet 7.00 4.30 1.40
Unibet 8.50 4.40 1.38
William Hill 7.00 4.33 1.36

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 8.20 ▲ +0.60
X 4.35 ▲ +0.04
2 1.39 —

21 snapshots recorded, from .