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Bulgaria First League · Full time ·Matchday 7

Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia

1 – 1 Full time

Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, SofiaReferee: Mihael Pavlov, Bulgaria

Slavia Sofia 49%
Draw 29%
Septemvri Sofia 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySlavia SofiaDrawSeptemvri Sofia
Model44.3%33.6%22.1%
Market50.5%28.0%21.5%
Final48.9%29.4%21.7%
Edge-6.2%+5.6%+0.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Slavia Sofia

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.15 vs 0.73.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Slavia Sofia ↓ / Septemvri Sofi → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 10% 1 16% 14% 2 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 57%
3+ goals 29%
No goals 16%

Slavia Sofia and Septemvri Sofia expected goals

Slavia Sofia 1.15
Septemvri Sofia 0.73

Total expected goals: 1.88

Slavia Sofia and Septemvri Sofia attack and defence ratings

Slavia Sofia

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Septemvri Sofia

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia: result vs prediction

Slavia Sofia 1 – 1 Septemvri Sofia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Bulgaria First League

Before and after this match

Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Slavia Sofia 48.9% 2.04 -6.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 70.8% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score No 63.2% 1.58 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.3% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.7% 1.80 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Slavia Sofia48.9%
Draw29.4%
Septemvri Sofia21.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.529.2%
Under 2.570.8%
Both teams to scoreYes36.8%
No63.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.3%
12 (either side)70.6%
X2 (draw or away)51.1%
Handicap -1Slavia Sofia win19.6%
Push (exactly one goal)24.7%
Loss55.7%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.5%
1-016.2%
1-114.1%

Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia stats

Slavia Sofia and Septemvri Sofia recent form

newest first
Slavia Sofia DWDLDW
Septemvri Sofia WWLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Slavia Sofia and Septemvri Sofia going into this match

league record before kick-off

Slavia Sofia record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.

Septemvri Sofia record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.

Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Slavia Sofia wins 0Draws 4Septemvri Sofia wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-04Septemvri SofiaSlavia SofiaFriendlies Clubs2-3
2026-05-06Slavia SofiaSeptemvri SofiaBulgaria First League2-1
2026-04-10Slavia SofiaSeptemvri SofiaBulgaria First League1-2
2025-11-01Septemvri SofiaSlavia SofiaBulgaria First League0-1
2025-05-06Septemvri SofiaSlavia SofiaFirst League3-1
2025-04-01Slavia SofiaSeptemvri SofiaFirst League2-3
2024-09-14Septemvri SofiaSlavia SofiaFirst League3-2
2024-06-26Slavia SofiaSeptemvri SofiaFriendlies Clubs4-1
2023-07-01Slavia SofiaSeptemvri SofiaFriendlies Clubs3-2
2023-04-28Septemvri SofiaSlavia SofiaFirst League1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.5%, draw 28.0%, away 21.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.80 3.25 4.20
1xBet 1.83 3.30 4.49
Bet365 1.83 3.50 4.33
BetVictor 1.83 3.30 4.10
Betano 1.83 3.35 4.30
Betfair 1.80 3.30 4.10
Dafabet 1.86 3.35 4.30
Marathonbet 1.81 3.30 4.50
Pinnacle 1.83 3.26 4.58
SBO 1.82 2.97 3.56
Superbet 1.85 3.30 4.15
Unibet 1.87 3.40 4.10
William Hill 1.80 3.00 4.33

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.83 ▼ -0.30
X 3.30 —
2 4.30 ▲ +0.96

14 snapshots recorded, from .