Ludogorets
vs
Slavia Sofia
1 – 1 Full time
Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia
| Probability | Ludogorets | Draw | Slavia Sofia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.8% | 31.4% | 20.8% |
| Market | 69.6% | 19.5% | 10.9% |
| Final | 64.2% | 22.5% | 13.4% |
| Edge | -21.8% | +11.9% | +9.9% |
Why Ludogorets
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.29 vs 0.77.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ludogorets and Slavia Sofia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.06
Ludogorets and Slavia Sofia attack and defence ratings
Ludogorets
Slavia Sofia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia: result vs prediction
Ludogorets 1 – 1 Slavia Sofia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ludogorets | 64.2% | 1.56 | -21.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.2% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ludogorets | 64.2% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Slavia Sofia | 13.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.1% |
| No | 59.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ludogorets win | 22.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.9% | |
| Loss | 52.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.2% |
| 0-0 | 14.0% | |
| 1-1 | 13.9% |
Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia stats
Ludogorets and Slavia Sofia recent form
| Ludogorets |
WWWDWL |
| Slavia Sofia |
WDLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ludogorets and Slavia Sofia going into this match
Ludogorets record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Slavia Sofia record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-08 | Ludogorets | Slavia Sofia | Bulgaria First League | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Slavia Sofia | Ludogorets | Bulgaria First League | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 69.6%, draw 19.5%, away 10.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.30 | 4.60 | 8.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.33 | 4.75 | 9.00 |
| 888Sport | 1.33 | 4.33 | 8.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.50 | 9.50 |
| Betano | 1.34 | 4.75 | 7.90 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 4.75 | 9.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.34 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.32 | 4.75 | 9.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.38 | 4.83 | 7.95 |
| SBO | 1.28 | 4.27 | 6.76 |
| Superbet | 1.34 | 4.90 | 7.30 |
| Unibet | 1.36 | 4.75 | 8.50 |
| William Hill | 1.33 | 4.33 | 8.50 |