Levski Sofia
vs
Spartak Varna
6 – 0 Full time
Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna
| Probability | Levski Sofia | Draw | Spartak Varna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.0% | 29.0% | 14.0% |
| Market | 75.0% | 16.6% | 8.3% |
| Final | 70.5% | 19.7% | 9.7% |
| Edge | -18.0% | +12.3% | +5.7% |
Why Levski Sofia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.59.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Levski Sofia and Spartak Varna expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.04
Levski Sofia and Spartak Varna attack and defence ratings
Levski Sofia
Spartak Varna
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna: result vs prediction
Levski Sofia 6 – 0 Spartak Varna
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Levski Sofia | 70.5% | 1.42 | -18.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.3% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Levski Sofia | 70.5% |
| Draw | 19.7% | |
| Spartak Varna | 9.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.3% |
| No | 64.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Levski Sofia win | 30.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.0% | |
| Loss | 43.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.7% |
| 0-0 | 14.1% | |
| 2-0 | 13.6% |
Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna stats
Levski Sofia and Spartak Varna recent form
| Levski Sofia |
DWWWWD |
| Spartak Varna |
LLWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Levski Sofia and Spartak Varna going into this match
Levski Sofia record
- They have won 8 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 8 matches.
Spartak Varna record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | Spartak Varna | Levski Sofia | Bulgaria First League | 1-3 |
| 2025-08-10 | Levski Sofia | Spartak Varna | Bulgaria First League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 74.7%, draw 16.7%, away 8.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.25 | 5.00 | 10.25 |
| 1xBet | 1.23 | 5.80 | 11.10 |
| 888Sport | 1.22 | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 5.25 | 12.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| Betano | 1.28 | 5.20 | 9.25 |
| Betfair | 1.18 | 5.50 | 11.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.26 | 5.60 | 10.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.22 | 5.80 | 11.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23 | 6.11 | 11.58 |
| SBO | 1.22 | 4.94 | 8.30 |
| Superbet | 1.26 | 5.45 | 8.90 |
| Unibet | 1.21 | 5.75 | 12.00 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 5.00 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .