CSKA 1948
vs
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2 – 0 Full time
CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
| Probability | CSKA 1948 | Draw | Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.5% | 27.8% | 12.6% |
| Market | 61.1% | 23.8% | 15.0% |
| Final | 60.7% | 24.8% | 14.4% |
| Edge | -1.6% | +4.0% | -2.4% |
Why CSKA 1948
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.57.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CSKA 1948 and Lokomotiv Plovdiv expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.08
CSKA 1948 and Lokomotiv Plovdiv attack and defence ratings
CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: result vs prediction
CSKA 1948 2 – 0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSKA 1948 | 60.7% | 1.65 | -1.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSKA 1948 | 60.7% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 14.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34.7% |
| No | 65.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | CSKA 1948 win | 32.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.2% | |
| Loss | 40.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.9% |
| 2-0 | 14.3% | |
| 0-0 | 13.6% |
CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv stats
CSKA 1948 and Lokomotiv Plovdiv recent form
| CSKA 1948 |
LWLWDW |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
LLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CSKA 1948 and Lokomotiv Plovdiv going into this match
CSKA 1948 record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | CSKA 1948 | Bulgaria First League | 0-5 |
| 2025-09-20 | CSKA 1948 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Bulgaria First League | 4-0 |
| 2025-05-25 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | CSKA 1948 | First League | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-08 | CSKA 1948 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-19 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | CSKA 1948 | First League | 0-2 |
| 2024-04-21 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | CSKA 1948 | First League | 1-1 |
| 2024-01-20 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | CSKA 1948 | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2023-10-26 | CSKA 1948 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League | 1-1 |
| 2023-06-07 | CSKA 1948 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League | 0-0 |
| 2023-04-22 | CSKA 1948 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.1%, draw 23.8%, away 15.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.50 | 3.75 | 6.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.54 | 3.82 | 6.14 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 3.90 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.53 | 3.70 | 6.30 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.52 | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.52 | 3.82 | 6.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.51 | 3.87 | 6.55 |
| SBO | 1.47 | 3.45 | 5.13 |
| Superbet | 1.52 | 3.90 | 5.80 |
| Unibet | 1.57 | 3.95 | 5.80 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 3.50 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .