Bulgaria First League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948

1 – 0 Full time

17′Héctor Cuellar
28′Juan Perea
46′A. HoffmannL. Dvali
51′E. FrancoJ. Meyer
58′J. Perea
62′FredericA. Iliev
62′B. TsonevB. Sobrero
65′A. MitkovEverton Bala
65′M. SoulaSerginho
74′P. VitanovM. Diallo
76′J. PereaReinaldo
76′M. GrujicA. Centelles
85′A. Oko-FlexA. Neves
86′Diego Medina

Georgi Asparuhov Stadium, SofiaReferee: Marijan Grebencharski, Bulgaria

Levski Sofia 57%
Draw 26%
CSKA 1948 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLevski SofiaDrawCSKA 1948
Model49.0%28.0%23.0%
Market60.2%25.0%14.8%
Final57.4%25.7%16.9%
Edge-11.2%+2.9%+8.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Levski Sofia

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.99.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Levski Sofia ↓ / CSKA 1948 → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 11% 13% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Levski Sofia and CSKA 1948 expected goals

Levski Sofia 1.55
CSKA 1948 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.54

Levski Sofia and CSKA 1948 attack and defence ratings

Levski Sofia

Attack 1.53 +53%
Defence 0.79 -21%

CSKA 1948

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948: result vs prediction

Levski Sofia 1 – 0 CSKA 1948

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Bulgaria First League

Before and after this match

Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Levski Sofia 57.4% 1.74 -11.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.4% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.7% 1.97 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.1% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.0% 1.96 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Levski Sofia57.4%
Draw25.7%
CSKA 194816.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.6%
Under 2.553.4%
Both teams to scoreYes50.7%
No49.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.1%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)42.6%
Handicap -1Levski Sofia win25.9%
Push (exactly one goal)23.1%
Loss51.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
1-011.0%
2-09.5%

Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948 stats

Levski Sofia and CSKA 1948 recent form

newest first
Levski Sofia WWLWDW
CSKA 1948 WLWLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Levski Sofia and CSKA 1948 going into this match

league record before kick-off

Levski Sofia record

  • They have won 8 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 8 matches.

CSKA 1948 record

  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948 head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Levski Sofia wins 3Draws 2CSKA 1948 wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-25CSKA 1948Levski SofiaBulgaria First League0-0
2026-05-02Levski SofiaCSKA 1948Bulgaria First League1-0
2026-02-22CSKA 1948Levski SofiaBulgaria First League1-3
2025-08-31Levski SofiaCSKA 1948Bulgaria First League2-1
2025-04-03Levski SofiaCSKA 1948First League2-0
2024-09-15CSKA 1948Levski SofiaFirst League2-4
2023-11-07CSKA 1948Levski SofiaFirst League1-0
2023-07-15Levski SofiaCSKA 1948First League1-2
2023-05-14CSKA 1948Levski SofiaFirst League2-2
2022-10-29Levski SofiaCSKA 1948First League0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 59.5%, draw 24.6%, away 15.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.55 3.74 6.20
Bet365 1.53 3.70 6.50
BetVictor 1.55 3.80 6.50
Betano 1.57 3.70 5.80
Betfair 1.55 3.90 5.00
Dafabet 1.54 4.10 5.80
Marathonbet 1.54 3.72 6.20
Pinnacle 1.58 3.75 6.40
SBO 1.48 3.53 4.84
Superbet 1.53 4.00 5.50
Unibet 1.63 3.75 5.40
William Hill 1.55 3.40 5.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.55 ▼ -0.09
X 3.73 ▲ +0.01
2 6.30 ▲ +1.47

23 snapshots recorded, from .