Bulgaria First League
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Botev Plovdiv
vs
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2 – 0 Full time
| 9′ | Asen Chandarov | ||
| 44′ | Mauro Rodrigues | ||
| 46′ | Christ Longvillejunior burban | ||
| 46′ | sevi idrizJulian Iliev | ||
| 51′ | Todor Pavlovali dalil | ||
| 53′ | Adrián Cova | ||
| 56′ | Efe Ali | ||
| 56′ | samuil tsonov | ||
| 61′ | Bryan Hein | ||
| 63′ | samuil tsonovmascote | ||
| 63′ | Carlos Meottialberto tajero saido | ||
| 69′ | Asen Chandarov | ||
| 70′ | Efe AliAnton Fase | ||
| 77′ | Ryan Leijtenaleksandar aleksandrov | ||
| 81′ | Mauro RodriguesGeorgi Milanov | ||
| 90′ | Samuel Kaluwilliams chimezie |
Botev Plovdiv
53%
Draw
27%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
20%
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 38 | Possession % | 62 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
| Probability | Botev Plovdiv | Draw | Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.8% | 27.4% | 18.8% |
| Market | 52.3% | 26.9% | 20.8% |
| Final | 52.7% | 27.0% | 20.3% |
| Edge | +1.5% | +0.5% | -2.0% |
Why Botev Plovdiv
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
71%
3+ goals
44%
No goals
10%
Botev Plovdiv and Lokomotiv Plovdiv expected goals
Botev Plovdiv
1.60
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0.85
Total expected goals: 2.45
Botev Plovdiv and Lokomotiv Plovdiv attack and defence ratings
Botev Plovdiv
Attack
1.20 +20%
Defence
1.30 +30%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Attack
0.62 -38%
Defence
1.02 +2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: result vs prediction
Botev Plovdiv 2 – 0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Botev Plovdiv | 52.7% | 1.90 | +1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Botev Plovdiv | 52.7% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 20.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Botev Plovdiv win | 29.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 46.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | 12.6% | |
| 2-0 | 11.0% |
Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv stats
Botev Plovdiv and Lokomotiv Plovdiv recent form
| Botev Plovdiv |
WLLLWW |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
WLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Botev Plovdiv and Lokomotiv Plovdiv going into this match
Botev Plovdiv record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
1Botev Plovdiv wins
5Draws
3Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Botev Plovdiv | Bulgaria First League | 2-1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Botev Plovdiv | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Bulgaria First League | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-08 | Botev Plovdiv | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Bulgaria First League | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-12 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Botev Plovdiv | Cup | 1-0 |
| 2024-12-01 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Botev Plovdiv | First League | 0-1 |
| 2024-07-28 | Botev Plovdiv | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League | 2-2 |
| 2023-11-03 | Botev Plovdiv | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League | 0-0 |
| 2023-07-16 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Botev Plovdiv | First League | 1-1 |
| 2023-03-19 | Botev Plovdiv | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.3%, draw 26.7%, away 21.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 3.44 | 4.49 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.40 | 4.45 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 3.44 | 4.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81 | 3.60 | 4.51 |
| SBO | 1.69 | 3.18 | 3.79 |
| Unibet | 1.86 | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.20 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.77 ▲ +0.08
X
3.44 ▼ -0.12
2
4.45 ▼ -0.38
14 snapshots recorded, from .