Bulgaria First League
·
Full time
·Matchday 11
Botev Plovdiv
vs
Slavia Sofia
1 – 0 Full time
| 34′ | Vladimir Miletic | ||
| 46′ | Bryan HeinBogdan Kostov | ||
| 46′ | velian vidolovCarlos Meotti | ||
| 46′ | Vladimir Nikolovyoan bornosuzov | ||
| 46′ | alberto tajero saido | ||
| 62′ | Emil Stoev | ||
| 67′ | Nikola Soldo | ||
| 68′ | alberto tajero saidomascote | ||
| 68′ | Asen ChandarovCarlos algarra | ||
| 73′ | vasil kazaldzhievRoberto Iliev Raychev | ||
| 74′ | Kristiyan Stoyanovumaro balde | ||
| 83′ | Mauro RodriguesGeorgi Milanov | ||
| 84′ | Vladimir Mendes | ||
| 88′ | Dimitar Burov | ||
| 88′ | Dimitar BurovJordan Semedo Varela | ||
| 88′ | Emil Stoevemilian gogev | ||
| 90′ | yoan bornosuzov |
Botev Plovdiv
57%
Draw
25%
Slavia Sofia
18%
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 3 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia
| Probability | Botev Plovdiv | Draw | Slavia Sofia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.3% | 28.8% | 23.8% |
| Market | 60.4% | 23.1% | 16.5% |
| Final | 57.1% | 24.5% | 18.3% |
| Edge | -3.3% | +1.4% | +1.8% |
Why Botev Plovdiv
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.97.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
71%
3+ goals
44%
No goals
10%
Botev Plovdiv and Slavia Sofia expected goals
Botev Plovdiv
1.47
Slavia Sofia
0.97
Total expected goals: 2.44
Botev Plovdiv and Slavia Sofia attack and defence ratings
Botev Plovdiv
Attack
1.33 +33%
Defence
1.10 +10%
Slavia Sofia
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
0.85 -15%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia: result vs prediction
Botev Plovdiv 1 – 0 Slavia Sofia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Botev Plovdiv | 57.1% | 1.75 | -3.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Botev Plovdiv | 57.1% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Slavia Sofia | 18.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.2% |
| No | 50.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Botev Plovdiv win | 24.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 52.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 11.5% | |
| 0-0 | 9.9% |
Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia stats
Botev Plovdiv and Slavia Sofia recent form
| Botev Plovdiv |
WWWLLL |
| Slavia Sofia |
LDWLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Botev Plovdiv and Slavia Sofia going into this match
Botev Plovdiv record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Slavia Sofia record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Botev Plovdiv wins
3Draws
4Slavia Sofia wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Slavia Sofia | Botev Plovdiv | Bulgaria First League | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Botev Plovdiv | Slavia Sofia | Bulgaria First League | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-03 | Slavia Sofia | Botev Plovdiv | First League | 3-2 |
| 2024-10-19 | Botev Plovdiv | Slavia Sofia | First League | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-20 | Slavia Sofia | Botev Plovdiv | First League | 3-1 |
| 2024-04-27 | Botev Plovdiv | Slavia Sofia | First League | 0-1 |
| 2024-03-02 | Slavia Sofia | Botev Plovdiv | First League | 2-2 |
| 2023-09-01 | Botev Plovdiv | Slavia Sofia | First League | 3-1 |
| 2023-05-29 | Botev Plovdiv | Slavia Sofia | First League | 0-0 |
| 2023-05-13 | Slavia Sofia | Botev Plovdiv | First League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.4%, draw 23.1%, away 16.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 3.94 | 5.54 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 4.20 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.10 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.54 | 4.10 | 5.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 3.94 | 5.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 4.21 | 6.19 |
| SBO | 1.55 | 3.50 | 4.62 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.53 ▼ -0.27
X
4.00 ▲ +0.55
2
5.60 ▲ +1.49
14 snapshots recorded, from .