CSKA 1948
vs
Botev Plovdiv
Garuda Lions Prediction: CSKA 1948
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv
| Probability | CSKA 1948 | Draw | Botev Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.6% | 26.4% | 32.0% |
| Market | 45.8% | 26.2% | 28.1% |
| Final | 44.7% | 26.2% | 29.1% |
| Edge | -4.1% | +0.3% | +3.9% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.04, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv match preview
CSKA 1948 faces Botev Plovdiv in a Bulgaria First League match on October 24, 2026. According to our model, CSKA 1948 has a 45% chance of winning, while Botev Plovdiv holds a 29% probability, and a draw stands at 26%. The expected goals for CSKA 1948 are 1.61, compared to 1.39 for Botev Plovdiv. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of CSKA 1948, with a 9% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, CSKA 1948 has recorded one win in their last six matches (L-W-W-L-W-L), while Botev Plovdiv has achieved four wins in their last six (W-W-W-W-L-L). Our model indicates a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance that both teams will score in this encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CSKA 1948 and Botev Plovdiv expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.99
CSKA 1948 and Botev Plovdiv attack and defence ratings
CSKA 1948
Botev Plovdiv
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSKA 1948 | 44.7% | 2.24 | -4.1% | 2.04 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSKA 1948 | 44.7% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Botev Plovdiv | 29.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% |
| No | 38.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | CSKA 1948 win | 21.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 58.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv stats
CSKA 1948 and Botev Plovdiv recent form
| CSKA 1948 |
LWWLWL |
| Botev Plovdiv |
WWWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CSKA 1948 and Botev Plovdiv season so far
CSKA 1948 record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Botev Plovdiv record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | CSKA 1948 | Botev Plovdiv | Bulgaria First League | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Botev Plovdiv | CSKA 1948 | Bulgaria First League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.8%, draw 26.2%, away 28.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.04 | 3.52 | 3.28 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.02 | 3.52 | 3.26 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .