HNK Hajduk Split
vs
Ajax
2 – 1 Full time
| 37′ | A. Sanyang | ||
| 45′ | Alberto del Moral | ||
| 53′ | D. Klaassen | ||
| 55′ | M. Soticek | ||
| 60′ | Michele Šego | ||
| 69′ | A. del MoralL. Dendoncker | ||
| 75′ | J. TorrentsO. Gloukh | ||
| 75′ | D. KlaassenJ. Mokio | ||
| 76′ | V. TsygankovL. Rosa | ||
| 76′ | A. OuazaneMarcos Leonardo | ||
| 81′ | S. HrgovicD. Melnjak | ||
| 81′ | A. SanyangA. Sutalo | ||
| 90′ | K. FayadA. Van Hoorenbeeck | ||
| 90′ | M. SegoC. Martin |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
| 6 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 6 |
| 307 | Accurate passes | 404 |
HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax overview
Garuda Lions analysis: HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax
| Probability | HNK Hajduk Split | Draw | Ajax |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.2% | 20.9% | 28.9% |
| Market | 20.0% | 22.0% | 58.0% |
| Final | 27.5% | 21.7% | 50.7% |
| Edge | +7.5% | -0.3% | -7.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
HNK Hajduk Split and Ajax expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.16
HNK Hajduk Split and Ajax attack and defence ratings
HNK Hajduk Split
Ajax
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax: result vs prediction
HNK Hajduk Split 2 – 1 Ajax
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
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- Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe — team news & stats
- CSKA Sofia v Monaco — match page
- KuPS vs Trabzonspor
- Mjallby AIF v Inter Club d'Escaldes — match page
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë v FC Midtjylland — match page
Before and after this match
HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ajax | 50.7% | 1.97 | -7.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | HNK Hajduk Split | 27.5% |
| Draw | 21.7% | |
| Ajax | 50.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 21.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.2% |
| No | 23.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ajax win | 14.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.2% | |
| Loss | 71.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.8% |
| 1-1 | 7.3% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax stats
HNK Hajduk Split and Ajax recent form
| HNK Hajduk Split |
WLWWWW |
| Ajax |
DDWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
HNK Hajduk Split and Ajax going into this match
Ajax record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 3.7 goals per match.
- They average 4.0 goals per game at home against 3.3 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.0%, draw 22.0%, away 58.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.82 | 4.35 | 1.67 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 4.33 | 1.62 |
| BetVictor | 4.75 | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| Betano | 4.90 | 4.35 | 1.70 |
| Betfair | 4.60 | 4.10 | 1.62 |
| Dafabet | 4.80 | 4.40 | 1.66 |
| Marathonbet | 4.65 | 4.20 | 1.61 |
| Pinnacle | 4.80 | 4.38 | 1.65 |
| SBO | 4.44 | 4.02 | 1.58 |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 4.00 | 1.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .