Mjallby AIF
vs
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Garuda Lions Prediction: Mjallby AIF
1 – 0 Predicted score · 5% model probability
Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
| Probability | Mjallby AIF | Draw | Inter Club d'Escaldes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.5% | 25.8% | 57.7% |
| Market | 71.2% | 18.1% | 10.7% |
| Final | 57.5% | 20.1% | 22.4% |
| Edge | -54.7% | +7.7% | +47.0% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.36, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes match preview
Mjallby AIF faces Inter Club d'Escaldes in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Mjallby AIF holding a 57% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0, with expected goals of 0.82 for Mjallby AIF and 1.72 for Inter Club d'Escaldes.
Recent form shows Mjallby AIF struggling with six consecutive matches resulting in two draws and four losses. In contrast, Inter Club d'Escaldes has shown more resilience, with their last six matches yielding two wins, three draws, and one loss. The probabilities for a draw stand at 20%, while Inter Club d'Escaldes has a 22% chance of victory. Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals are each at 47%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mjallby AIF and Inter Club d'Escaldes expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.54
Mjallby AIF and Inter Club d'Escaldes attack and defence ratings
Mjallby AIF
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mjallby AIF | 57.5% | 1.74 | -54.7% | 1.36 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mjallby AIF | 57.5% |
| Draw | 20.1% | |
| Inter Club d'Escaldes | 22.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.0% |
| No | 53.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mjallby AIF win | 5.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 11.1% | |
| Loss | 83.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-1 | 12.2% | |
| 0-2 | 11.7% |
Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes stats
Mjallby AIF and Inter Club d'Escaldes recent form
| Mjallby AIF |
LLDDLL |
| Inter Club d'Escaldes |
DDWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.2%, draw 18.1%, away 10.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.34 | 5.31 | 9.75 |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 5.00 | 8.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| Betano | 1.35 | 5.20 | 8.50 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 5.50 | 11.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.33 | 5.40 | 8.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.31 | 4.95 | 9.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.36 | 4.95 | 7.84 |
| SBO | 1.28 | 4.64 | 6.95 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 5.50 | 8.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .