Mjallby AIF
vs
Degerfors IF
Garuda Lions Prediction: Mjallby AIF
1 – 0 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF
| Probability | Mjallby AIF | Draw | Degerfors IF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.9% | 30.6% | 48.6% |
| Market | 49.4% | 26.6% | 23.9% |
| Final | 42.3% | 27.6% | 30.1% |
| Edge | -28.6% | +3.9% | +24.7% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF match preview
Mjallby AIF faces Degerfors IF in an Allsvenskan clash on October 10, 2026. The model gives Mjallby a 43% chance of winning, while Degerfors has a 30% probability, and a draw stands at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Mjallby, with an 8% likelihood. The expected goals for Mjallby AIF is 0.91, compared to 1.40 for Degerfors IF, suggesting a potentially competitive match.
Recent form shows Mjallby AIF struggling with six matches without a win (L-D-D-L-L-L), while Degerfors IF has seen some improvement with two wins in their last three matches (L-L-W-L-L-W). In their last three head-to-head encounters, Mjallby AIF has dominated with three wins and no draws against Degerfors IF.
Mjallby AIF and Degerfors IF team news
Mjallby AIF news
- M. Isaksson — inactive
- T. Stavitski — back injury
- V. Dalsgaard — injury
Degerfors IF news
- J. Pikkarainen — knee injury
- K. Boutera — yellow cards
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mjallby AIF and Degerfors IF expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.15
Mjallby AIF and Degerfors IF attack and defence ratings
Mjallby AIF
Degerfors IF
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mjallby AIF | 42.3% | 2.36 | -28.6% | 1.95 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.0% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mjallby AIF | 42.3% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Degerfors IF | 30.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.0% |
| No | 58.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mjallby AIF win | 6.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.1% | |
| Loss | 79.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.5% |
| 1-1 | 13.8% | |
| 0-0 | 12.9% |
Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF stats
Mjallby AIF and Degerfors IF recent form
| Mjallby AIF |
LLDDLL |
| Degerfors IF |
LLWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mjallby AIF and Degerfors IF season so far
Mjallby AIF record
- They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Degerfors IF record
- They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 22 matches.
Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Degerfors IF | Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan | 1-4 |
| 2025-09-13 | Degerfors IF | Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-27 | Mjallby AIF | Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan | 4-1 |
| 2023-11-12 | Degerfors IF | Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan | 1-2 |
| 2023-04-16 | Mjallby AIF | Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan | 2-0 |
| 2022-09-10 | Degerfors IF | Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan | 0-0 |
| 2022-07-23 | Mjallby AIF | Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan | 2-1 |
| 2021-08-28 | Degerfors IF | Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan | 0-2 |
| 2021-05-03 | Mjallby AIF | Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan | 1-0 |
| 2019-09-17 | Degerfors IF | Mjallby AIF | Superettan | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.4%, draw 26.6%, away 23.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.87 | 3.60 | 3.89 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.40 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.95 |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87 | 3.59 | 4.05 |
| SBO | 1.92 | 3.04 | 3.31 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .