Allsvenskan · 2026-10-10T15:30:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 23

Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF

1 – 1 Full time

52′			Arman Taranis
56′			Jeppe Kjaer Jensen
64′			Jeppe Kjaer JensenOlle Lindberg
72′			Noel MilleskogRobin Dzabic
72′			Sebastian OhlssonSamba Diatara
77′			Arman TaranisDijan Vukojevic
81′			Tony MiettinenAxel·Noren
86′			Nahom GirmaiElias Barsoum
87′			Áki SamuelsenMads Enggard

Strandvallen, HallevikReferee: Adam Ladeback

Mjallby AIF

42%

Draw

28%

Degerfors IF

30%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

13	Shots	8
5	Shots on target	2
56	Possession %	44
7	Corners	5
14	Fouls	16
0	Offsides	2
1	Saves	4
387	Accurate passes	263

Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Mjallby AIF	Draw	Degerfors IF
Model	20.9%	30.6%	48.6%
Market	49.6%	26.6%	23.9%
Final	42.4%	27.6%	30.0%
Edge	-7.2%	+1.0%	+6.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

87%

2+ goals

65%

3+ goals

36%

No goals

13%

Mjallby AIF and Degerfors IF expected goals

Mjallby AIF

0.80

Degerfors IF

1.35

Total expected goals: 2.15

Mjallby AIF and Degerfors IF attack and defence ratings

Mjallby AIF

Attack

0.53 -47%

Defence

1.31 +31%

Degerfors IF

Attack

0.76 -24%

Defence

0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF: result vs prediction

Mjallby AIF 1 – 1 Degerfors IF

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Allsvenskan

IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK · 2026-10-09
AIK Stockholm v IF Brommapojkarna — match page · 2026-10-10
Gais vs Sirius — team news & stats · 2026-10-10
Hammarby FF v Djurgardens IF — match page · 2026-10-11
BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS — team news & stats · 2026-10-11
IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad · 2026-10-12
Malmo FF v Kalmar FF — match page · 2026-10-12

Before and after this match

Mjallby AIF, previous: Trollhättan vs Mjallby AIF: odds and pick
Mjallby AIF, next: Mjallby AIF – Inter Club d'Escaldes, 2026-10-15
Degerfors IF, previous: Degerfors IF v Hammarby FF analysis
Degerfors IF, next: Degerfors IF v Kalmar FF analysis

Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Mjallby AIF	42.4%	2.36	-7.2%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	63.6%	1.57	—	—
Both teams to score	No	57.9%	1.73	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	72.4%	1.38	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	79.2%	1.26	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Mjallby AIF	42.4%
	Draw	27.6%
	Degerfors IF	30.0%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	36.4%
	Under 2.5	63.6%
Both teams to score	Yes	42.1%
	No	57.9%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	70.0%
	12 (either side)	72.4%
	X2 (draw or away)	57.6%
Handicap -1	Mjallby AIF win	6.8%
	Push (exactly one goal)	14.0%
	Loss	79.2%
Correct score (top 3)	0-1	14.5%
	1-1	13.8%
	0-0	12.9%

Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF stats

Mjallby AIF and Degerfors IF recent form

newest first

Mjallby AIF	LLDDLL
Degerfors IF	LLWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mjallby AIF and Degerfors IF going into this match

league record before kick-off

Mjallby AIF record

They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 22 matches.
They have failed to score in 9 of 22 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Degerfors IF record

They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
They have failed to score in 11 of 22 matches.

Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

8Mjallby AIF wins 1Draws 1Degerfors IF wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-05-09	Degerfors IF	Mjallby AIF	Allsvenskan	1-4
2025-09-13	Degerfors IF	Mjallby AIF	Allsvenskan	0-1
2025-04-27	Mjallby AIF	Degerfors IF	Allsvenskan	4-1
2023-11-12	Degerfors IF	Mjallby AIF	Allsvenskan	1-2
2023-04-16	Mjallby AIF	Degerfors IF	Allsvenskan	2-0
2022-09-10	Degerfors IF	Mjallby AIF	Allsvenskan	0-0
2022-07-23	Mjallby AIF	Degerfors IF	Allsvenskan	2-1
2021-08-28	Degerfors IF	Mjallby AIF	Allsvenskan	0-2
2021-05-03	Mjallby AIF	Degerfors IF	Allsvenskan	1-0
2019-09-17	Degerfors IF	Mjallby AIF	Superettan	2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.6%, draw 26.6%, away 23.9%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	1.87	3.60	3.89
Bet365	1.90	3.40	4.10
BetVictor	1.85	3.40	3.80
Betano	1.85	3.50	4.15
Betfair	1.91	3.50	3.80
Dafabet	1.95	3.50	3.95
Marathonbet	1.85	3.60	3.90
Pinnacle	1.88	3.67	4.20
SBO	1.92	3.14	3.46
William Hill	1.85	3.30	3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.88 ▼ -0.01

X 3.50 ▼ -0.04

2 3.90 ▲ +0.10

15 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-03T08:10:03Z.