AIK Stockholm
vs
IF Brommapojkarna
Garuda Lions Prediction: AIK Stockholm
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
AIK Stockholm vs IF Brommapojkarna overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AIK Stockholm vs IF Brommapojkarna
| Probability | AIK Stockholm | Draw | IF Brommapojkarna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.0% | 24.6% | 24.4% |
| Market | 48.9% | 24.9% | 26.1% |
| Final | 49.5% | 24.8% | 25.7% |
| Edge | +2.1% | -0.4% | -1.8% |
Why AIK Stockholm
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.25.
- The market prices AIK Stockholm below the model: +2.1 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.98, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
AIK Stockholm vs IF Brommapojkarna match preview
AIK Stockholm hosts IF Brommapojkarna in the Allsvenskan on October 10, 2026. The model gives AIK a 50% chance of winning, while both a draw and an IF Brommapojkarna victory are at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% probability. The match is expected to see over 2.5 goals at 61%, and both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 62%.
In terms of recent form, AIK Stockholm has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, while IF Brommapojkarna has two wins and three losses in the same timeframe. In their last three encounters, AIK Stockholm has won twice and drawn once against IF Brommapojkarna, who has yet to secure a victory in this matchup. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
AIK Stockholm and IF Brommapojkarna team news
AIK Stockholm news
- A. Helm — knee injury
- A. Redkin — knee injury
- C. Pavey — groin injury
- D. Besirovic — thigh injury
- D. Tomas — injury
- F. Nissen — injury
- I. Cisse — ankle injury
- K. Filling — knee injury
- L. Bergquist — knee injury
- M. Ellingsen — leg injury
- S. Papagiannopoulos — knee injury
- T. Ayari — calf injury
IF Brommapojkarna news
- O. Berg — injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AIK Stockholm and IF Brommapojkarna expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.13
AIK Stockholm and IF Brommapojkarna attack and defence ratings
AIK Stockholm
IF Brommapojkarna
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
AIK Stockholm vs IF Brommapojkarna markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AIK Stockholm | 49.5% | 2.02 | +2.1% | 1.98 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AIK Stockholm | 49.5% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| IF Brommapojkarna | 25.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.5% |
| No | 38.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | AIK Stockholm win | 29.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 48.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 7.7% |
AIK Stockholm vs IF Brommapojkarna stats
AIK Stockholm and IF Brommapojkarna recent form
| AIK Stockholm |
LDLDWW |
| IF Brommapojkarna |
LLWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AIK Stockholm and IF Brommapojkarna season so far
AIK Stockholm record
- They have won 9 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IF Brommapojkarna record
- They have won 7 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AIK Stockholm vs IF Brommapojkarna head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | IF Brommapojkarna | AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-15 | AIK Stockholm | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-25 | IF Brommapojkarna | AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan | 0-1 |
| 2025-01-25 | IF Brommapojkarna | AIK Stockholm | Friendlies Clubs | 3-0 |
| 2024-08-25 | AIK Stockholm | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-06 | IF Brommapojkarna | AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan | 2-2 |
| 2024-01-27 | IF Brommapojkarna | AIK Stockholm | Friendlies Clubs | 0-3 |
| 2023-08-12 | AIK Stockholm | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 2-2 |
| 2023-07-01 | IF Brommapojkarna | AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan | 0-2 |
| 2018-08-19 | IF Brommapojkarna | AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AIK Stockholm vs IF Brommapojkarna odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.9%, draw 24.9%, away 26.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.88 | 3.80 | 3.64 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.75 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.90 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.98 | 3.75 | 3.55 |
| Marathonbet | 1.86 | 3.80 | 3.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.80 | 3.79 |
| SBO | 1.92 | 3.26 | 3.11 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .