Allsvenskan · Full time ·Matchday 22

IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg

0 – 1 Full time

18′Hjörtur Hermannsson
45′David IssoKamilcan Sever
51′Alexander Simmelhack
61′Anton KurochkinObilor Okeke
61′Kaare BarslundLukas Björklund
75′Rasmus ÖrqvistRasmus Bergvall
78′Nino ŽugeljKolbeinn Thordarson
78′Felix ErikssonEmil Carl Olof Fasth
86′Sam LarssonKevin Ackermann
90′Alexander SimmelhackMax Johannes Whitta Fenger

Grimsta IP, StockholmReferee: Granit Maqedonci

IF Brommapojkarna 31%
Draw 26%
IFK Goteborg 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 3
48 Possession % 52
7 Corners 8
8 Fouls 15
2 Saves 1
383 Accurate passes 377

IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIF BrommapojkarnaDrawIFK Goteborg
Model23.6%23.2%53.2%
Market33.1%26.5%40.3%
Final30.7%25.7%43.6%
Edge-9.6%-3.3%+12.8%

Confidence: Low

Why IFK Goteborg

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 1.32.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices IFK Goteborg below the model: +12.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

IF Brommapojka ↓ / IFK Goteborg → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 1 10% 10% 6% 5% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

IF Brommapojkarna and IFK Goteborg expected goals

IF Brommapojkarna 1.32
IFK Goteborg 2.04

Total expected goals: 3.35

IF Brommapojkarna and IFK Goteborg attack and defence ratings

IF Brommapojkarna

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.18 +18%

IFK Goteborg

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg: result vs prediction

IF Brommapojkarna 0 – 1 IFK Goteborg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 22 fixtures

Allsvenskan

Before and after this match

IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 IFK Goteborg 43.6% 2.30 +12.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.1% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.6% 1.55 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.3% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.8% 2.14 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2IF Brommapojkarna30.7%
Draw25.7%
IFK Goteborg43.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.1%
Under 2.534.9%
Both teams to scoreYes64.6%
No35.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.4%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)69.3%
Handicap -1IFK Goteborg win32.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss46.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.3%
1-29.5%
0-27.3%

IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg stats

IF Brommapojkarna and IFK Goteborg recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

IF Brommapojkarna and IFK Goteborg going into this match

league record before kick-off

IF Brommapojkarna record

  • They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 21 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IFK Goteborg record

  • They have won 8 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

2IF Brommapojkarna wins 1Draws 6IFK Goteborg wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-17IFK GoteborgIF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan2-1
2025-09-21IFK GoteborgIF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan0-1
2025-06-01IF BrommapojkarnaIFK GoteborgAllsvenskan1-3
2024-07-27IFK GoteborgIF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan3-4
2024-04-29IF BrommapojkarnaIFK GoteborgAllsvenskan0-3
2023-09-16IFK GoteborgIF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan1-0
2023-05-08IF BrommapojkarnaIFK GoteborgAllsvenskan0-0
2018-10-22IF BrommapojkarnaIFK GoteborgAllsvenskan0-2
2018-07-28IFK GoteborgIF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.1%, draw 26.5%, away 40.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.89 3.46 2.30
Bet365 2.80 3.70 2.30
BetVictor 2.75 3.50 2.25
Betano 2.82 3.60 2.30
Betfair 2.80 3.60 2.30
Marathonbet 2.88 3.46 2.28
Pinnacle 2.93 3.64 2.34
SBO 2.75 3.20 2.11
William Hill 2.80 3.40 2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.80 ▲ +0.15
X 3.50 ▼ -0.05
2 2.30 ▼ -0.08

13 snapshots recorded, from .