IF Brommapojkarna
vs
IFK Goteborg
0 – 1 Full time
| 18′ | Hjörtur Hermannsson | ||
| 45′ | David IssoKamilcan Sever | ||
| 51′ | Alexander Simmelhack | ||
| 61′ | Anton KurochkinObilor Okeke | ||
| 61′ | Kaare BarslundLukas Björklund | ||
| 75′ | Rasmus ÖrqvistRasmus Bergvall | ||
| 78′ | Nino ŽugeljKolbeinn Thordarson | ||
| 78′ | Felix ErikssonEmil Carl Olof Fasth | ||
| 86′ | Sam LarssonKevin Ackermann | ||
| 90′ | Alexander SimmelhackMax Johannes Whitta Fenger |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 383 | Accurate passes | 377 |
IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg
| Probability | IF Brommapojkarna | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.6% | 23.2% | 53.2% |
| Market | 33.1% | 26.5% | 40.3% |
| Final | 30.7% | 25.7% | 43.6% |
| Edge | -9.6% | -3.3% | +12.8% |
Why IFK Goteborg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 1.32.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices IFK Goteborg below the model: +12.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
IF Brommapojkarna and IFK Goteborg expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.35
IF Brommapojkarna and IFK Goteborg attack and defence ratings
IF Brommapojkarna
IFK Goteborg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg: result vs prediction
IF Brommapojkarna 0 – 1 IFK Goteborg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
Before and after this match
IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IFK Goteborg | 43.6% | 2.30 | +12.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IF Brommapojkarna | 30.7% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| IFK Goteborg | 43.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.6% |
| No | 35.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | IFK Goteborg win | 32.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 46.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 7.3% |
IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg stats
IF Brommapojkarna and IFK Goteborg recent form
| LWLLWW | |
| WWWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
IF Brommapojkarna and IFK Goteborg going into this match
IF Brommapojkarna record
- They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 21 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IFK Goteborg record
- They have won 8 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | IFK Goteborg | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | IFK Goteborg | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 0-1 |
| 2025-06-01 | IF Brommapojkarna | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan | 1-3 |
| 2024-07-27 | IFK Goteborg | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 3-4 |
| 2024-04-29 | IF Brommapojkarna | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan | 0-3 |
| 2023-09-16 | IFK Goteborg | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 1-0 |
| 2023-05-08 | IF Brommapojkarna | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan | 0-0 |
| 2018-10-22 | IF Brommapojkarna | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan | 0-2 |
| 2018-07-28 | IFK Goteborg | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
IF Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.1%, draw 26.5%, away 40.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.89 | 3.46 | 2.30 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.70 | 2.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 2.82 | 3.60 | 2.30 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.88 | 3.46 | 2.28 |
| Pinnacle | 2.93 | 3.64 | 2.34 |
| SBO | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.11 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .