Allsvenskan · Full time ·Matchday 22

Halmstad vs AIK Stockholm

2 – 1 Full time

48′Omar Faraj
54′Johan Hove
59′Linus CarlstrandS. Wilson
72′Omar FarajMalte Persson
72′Ajdin ZeljkovicMarvin Illary
74′Yannick Emilio GeigerSixten Gustafsson
74′Wilmer OlofssonSebastian Lund Hausner
88′Eskil Smidesang Edh
90′Malte Persson
90′Erik Ludvig ArvidssonErko Tougjas
90′Hussein CarneilOliver Kapsimalis

Orjans Vall, HalmstadReferee: Mohammed Al-Hakim

Halmstad 26%
Draw 26%
AIK Stockholm 48%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 16
10 Shots on target 3
34 Possession % 66
4 Corners 3
11 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 3
2 Saves 8
281 Accurate passes 654

Halmstad vs AIK Stockholm overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Halmstad vs AIK Stockholm

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHalmstadDrawAIK Stockholm
Model23.3%27.8%49.0%
Market27.2%25.7%47.0%
Final26.2%26.2%47.5%
Edge-4.0%+2.0%+2.0%

Confidence: Low

Why AIK Stockholm

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 1.01.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Halmstad ↓ / AIK Stockholm → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 11% 9% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Halmstad and AIK Stockholm expected goals

Halmstad 1.01
AIK Stockholm 1.56

Total expected goals: 2.57

Halmstad and AIK Stockholm attack and defence ratings

Halmstad

Attack 0.64 -36%
Defence 1.08 +8%

AIK Stockholm

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Halmstad vs AIK Stockholm: result vs prediction

Halmstad 2 – 1 AIK Stockholm

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 22 fixtures

Allsvenskan

Before and after this match

Halmstad vs AIK Stockholm markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 AIK Stockholm 47.5% 2.10 +2.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.5% 1.90 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.5% 1.94 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.8% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.0% 1.96 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Halmstad26.2%
Draw26.2%
AIK Stockholm47.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.5%
Under 2.552.5%
Both teams to scoreYes51.5%
No48.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)52.5%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)73.8%
Handicap -1AIK Stockholm win26.0%
Push (exactly one goal)23.0%
Loss51.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.2%
0-110.7%
1-29.4%

Halmstad vs AIK Stockholm stats

Halmstad and AIK Stockholm recent form

newest first
Halmstad LLWWDL
AIK Stockholm DLDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Halmstad and AIK Stockholm going into this match

league record before kick-off

Halmstad record

  • They have won 2 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 21 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

AIK Stockholm record

  • They have won 9 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Halmstad vs AIK Stockholm head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Halmstad wins 1Draws 5AIK Stockholm wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-05AIK StockholmHalmstadAllsvenskan2-1
2025-11-09AIK StockholmHalmstadAllsvenskan0-2
2025-07-06HalmstadAIK StockholmAllsvenskan2-0
2024-11-10AIK StockholmHalmstadAllsvenskan5-1
2024-07-15HalmstadAIK StockholmAllsvenskan1-2
2023-10-29AIK StockholmHalmstadAllsvenskan1-1
2023-04-02HalmstadAIK StockholmAllsvenskan2-1
2021-11-01HalmstadAIK StockholmAllsvenskan1-0
2021-08-02AIK StockholmHalmstadAllsvenskan1-0
2017-09-17AIK StockholmHalmstadAllsvenskan4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Halmstad vs AIK Stockholm odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.2%, draw 25.7%, away 47.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.40 3.72 1.97
Bet365 3.50 3.60 2.00
BetVictor 3.30 3.60 1.95
Betano 3.40 3.60 2.00
Betfair 3.40 3.75 1.95
Marathonbet 3.40 3.72 1.95
Pinnacle 3.48 3.98 1.98
SBO 3.18 3.44 1.99
William Hill 3.25 3.60 1.95

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.40 ▼ -0.35
X 3.60 ▼ -0.15
2 1.97 ▲ +0.12

13 snapshots recorded, from .