Vasteras SK FK
vs
Malmo FF
2 – 0 Full time
| 14′ | Axel Sountonoma Taonsa | ||
| 39′ | karl gunnarsson | ||
| 45′ | Otto RosengrenMayckel Lahdo | ||
| 52′ | Axel Sountonoma Taonsa | ||
| 61′ | Theodor LundberghJovan Milosavljević | ||
| 64′ | Ismet LushakuMattias Hellisdal | ||
| 65′ | karl gunnarssonAbdelrahman Saidi | ||
| 73′ | Daniel GudjohnsenViggo Jeppsson | ||
| 81′ | Jack TagessonFrédéric Nsabiyumva | ||
| 82′ | Stian GregersenBleon Kurtulus | ||
| 82′ | Sead HakšabanovićMalte Vilhelm Frejd Pålsson | ||
| 87′ | jens magnussonJonny Melvin Ljungqvist | ||
| 87′ | Herman·MagnussonPeter Amoran |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 22 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 38 | Possession % | 62 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 7 |
| 5 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 296 | Accurate passes | 541 |
Vasteras SK FK vs Malmo FF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vasteras SK FK vs Malmo FF
| Probability | Vasteras SK FK | Draw | Malmo FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.6% | 26.3% | 40.0% |
| Market | 30.0% | 26.1% | 43.9% |
| Final | 30.9% | 26.2% | 42.9% |
| Edge | +3.6% | +0.2% | -3.8% |
Why Malmo FF
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vasteras SK FK and Malmo FF expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.02
Vasteras SK FK and Malmo FF attack and defence ratings
Vasteras SK FK
Malmo FF
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vasteras SK FK vs Malmo FF: result vs prediction
Vasteras SK FK 2 – 0 Malmo FF
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vasteras SK FK vs Malmo FF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malmo FF | 42.9% | 2.33 | -3.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vasteras SK FK | 30.9% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Malmo FF | 42.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.8% |
| No | 38.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Malmo FF win | 20.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 60.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 2-1 | 8.0% |
Vasteras SK FK vs Malmo FF stats
Vasteras SK FK and Malmo FF recent form
| Vasteras SK FK |
WLWDWL |
| Malmo FF |
WDWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vasteras SK FK and Malmo FF going into this match
Vasteras SK FK record
- They have won 9 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 21 matches.
Malmo FF record
- They have won 10 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vasteras SK FK vs Malmo FF head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Malmo FF | Vasteras SK FK | Allsvenskan | 2-3 |
| 2025-03-02 | Malmo FF | Vasteras SK FK | Svenska Cupen | 3-0 |
| 2024-10-19 | Vasteras SK FK | Malmo FF | Allsvenskan | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-20 | Malmo FF | Vasteras SK FK | Allsvenskan | 1-0 |
| 2021-02-21 | Malmo FF | Vasteras SK FK | Svenska Cupen | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vasteras SK FK vs Malmo FF odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.0%, draw 26.1%, away 43.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.14 | 3.56 | 2.12 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.10 | 3.55 | 2.15 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 3.14 | 3.56 | 2.10 |
| Pinnacle | 3.21 | 3.78 | 2.14 |
| SBO | 2.78 | 3.04 | 2.16 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .