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Allsvenskan · Full time ·Matchday 21

AIK Stockholm vs Vasteras SK FK

1 – 4 Full time

24′Johan Hove
45′Lukas BergquistEskil Smidesang Edh
60′jens magnusson
60′jens magnusson
62′Linus CarlstrandSixten Gustafsson
62′Bonaventure LendambiPeter Amoran
62′Victor WernerssonIsmet Lushaku
62′Mattias HellisdalAbdelrahman Saidi
69′Mamadou Diagne
71′Ismet Lushaku
74′Yannick Emilio Geigerlinus jareteg
74′Mads Thychosenoskar pukelis
78′Abdelrahman Saidi
80′Lucas AssadiNikolaj staykov
86′Jack TagessonFrédéric Nsabiyumva
90′karl gunnarssonLevi Hansas

Strawberry Arena, SolnaReferee: Erik Mattsson, Sweden

AIK Stockholm 48%
Draw 26%
Vasteras SK FK 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 7
66 Possession % 34
5 Corners 3
10 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 2
3 Saves 5
557 Accurate passes 275

AIK Stockholm vs Vasteras SK FK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: AIK Stockholm vs Vasteras SK FK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAIK StockholmDrawVasteras SK FK
Model51.5%25.9%22.6%
Market47.0%26.5%26.5%
Final48.2%26.3%25.5%
Edge+4.5%-0.6%-3.9%

Confidence: Low

Why AIK Stockholm

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 1.09.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices AIK Stockholm below the model: +4.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

AIK Stockholm ↓ / Vasteras SK FK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 9% 12% 2 9% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

AIK Stockholm and Vasteras SK FK expected goals

AIK Stockholm 1.74
Vasteras SK FK 1.09

Total expected goals: 2.82

AIK Stockholm and Vasteras SK FK attack and defence ratings

AIK Stockholm

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Vasteras SK FK

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

AIK Stockholm vs Vasteras SK FK: result vs prediction

AIK Stockholm 1 – 4 Vasteras SK FK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 21 fixtures

Allsvenskan

Before and after this match

AIK Stockholm vs Vasteras SK FK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 AIK Stockholm 48.2% 2.08 +4.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.6% 1.86 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.7% 1.79 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.5% 2.06 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2AIK Stockholm48.2%
Draw26.3%
Vasteras SK FK25.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.6%
Under 2.546.4%
Both teams to scoreYes55.7%
No44.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.5%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)51.8%
Handicap -1AIK Stockholm win29.0%
Push (exactly one goal)22.5%
Loss48.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.3%
2-19.7%
1-09.2%

AIK Stockholm vs Vasteras SK FK stats

AIK Stockholm and Vasteras SK FK recent form

newest first
AIK Stockholm DWWWWL
Vasteras SK FK LWDWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

AIK Stockholm and Vasteras SK FK going into this match

league record before kick-off

AIK Stockholm record

  • They have won 9 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 19 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 19 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vasteras SK FK record

  • They have won 8 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 20 matches.

AIK Stockholm vs Vasteras SK FK head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

3AIK Stockholm wins 3Draws 1Vasteras SK FK wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-28AIK StockholmVasteras SK FKFriendlies Clubs3-2
2026-05-17Vasteras SK FKAIK StockholmAllsvenskan1-1
2026-02-22AIK StockholmVasteras SK FKSvenska Cupen0-2
2024-08-03Vasteras SK FKAIK StockholmAllsvenskan1-2
2024-04-01AIK StockholmVasteras SK FKAllsvenskan1-0
2023-02-18AIK StockholmVasteras SK FKSvenska Cupen1-1
2022-11-24AIK StockholmVasteras SK FKFriendlies Clubs1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

AIK Stockholm vs Vasteras SK FK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.4%, draw 25.9%, away 26.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.95 3.65 3.55
1xBet 1.97 3.50 3.64
888Sport 2.00 3.60 3.25
Bet365 2.00 3.60 3.50
BetVictor 1.95 3.60 3.30
Betano 1.98 3.45 3.60
Betfair 1.91 3.70 3.50
Dafabet 2.04 3.70 3.45
Marathonbet 1.95 3.50 3.65
Pinnacle 2.00 3.56 3.80
SBO 1.98 3.31 3.11
Unibet 1.80 3.80 4.00
William Hill 1.95 3.40 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.97 ▼ -0.04
X 3.50 ▼ -0.15
2 3.50 ▲ +0.20

10 snapshots recorded, from .