Vasteras SK FK
vs
Sirius
0 – 1 Full time
| 34′ | Axel Sountonoma Taonsa | ||
| 44′ | philip bonde | ||
| 51′ | Jesper Uneken | ||
| 63′ | Jesper UnekenAke Andersson | ||
| 70′ | Bonaventure LendambiCasper Risbjerg Andreasen | ||
| 70′ | jens magnussonAbdelrahman Saidi | ||
| 73′ | Mattias HellisdalIsmet Lushaku | ||
| 76′ | Victor SvenssonN. Jönsson | ||
| 76′ | Zalán VancsaCharlie Nildén | ||
| 84′ | Isak BjerkeboVictor Ekstrom | ||
| 88′ | Mamadou Diagnekarl gunnarsson | ||
| 88′ | Simon GefvertJonny Melvin Ljungqvist |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 417 | Accurate passes | 298 |
Vasteras SK FK vs Sirius overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vasteras SK FK vs Sirius
| Probability | Vasteras SK FK | Draw | Sirius |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.3% | 24.9% | 41.8% |
| Market | 24.4% | 24.5% | 51.1% |
| Final | 26.6% | 24.6% | 48.8% |
| Edge | +8.9% | +0.5% | -9.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vasteras SK FK and Sirius expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.30
Vasteras SK FK and Sirius attack and defence ratings
Vasteras SK FK
Sirius
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vasteras SK FK vs Sirius: result vs prediction
Vasteras SK FK 0 – 1 Sirius
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vasteras SK FK vs Sirius markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sirius | 48.8% | 2.05 | -9.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vasteras SK FK | 26.6% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Sirius | 48.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.0% |
| No | 34.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sirius win | 22.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 58.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 2-1 | 7.7% |
Vasteras SK FK vs Sirius stats
Vasteras SK FK and Sirius recent form
| Vasteras SK FK |
WDWLWL |
| Sirius |
LWLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vasteras SK FK and Sirius going into this match
Vasteras SK FK record
- They have won 8 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 20 matches.
Sirius record
- They have won 13 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vasteras SK FK vs Sirius head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Sirius | Vasteras SK FK | Allsvenskan | 4-1 |
| 2024-08-31 | Vasteras SK FK | Sirius | Allsvenskan | 1-2 |
| 2024-05-20 | Sirius | Vasteras SK FK | Allsvenskan | 0-0 |
| 2024-02-03 | Sirius | Vasteras SK FK | Friendlies Clubs | 1-3 |
| 2020-02-29 | Sirius | Vasteras SK FK | Svenska Cupen | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vasteras SK FK vs Sirius odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.4%, draw 24.7%, away 50.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.60 | 3.75 | 1.90 |
| 1xBet | 3.82 | 3.85 | 1.83 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.70 | 1.83 |
| BetVictor | 3.70 | 3.70 | 1.80 |
| Betano | 3.65 | 3.65 | 1.91 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.91 |
| Dafabet | 3.70 | 3.80 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 3.84 | 3.85 | 1.81 |
| Pinnacle | 3.87 | 4.08 | 1.85 |
| SBO | 3.23 | 3.42 | 1.90 |
| Unibet | 3.65 | 3.75 | 1.88 |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.83 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .