Allsvenskan · 2026-09-07T17:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 20

Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm

0 – 0 Full time

46′			S. GustafssonA. Mujanic
62′			Sead Hakšabanović
62′			Mads Døhr Thychosen
65′			T. LundberghJ. Milosavljevic
65′			D. T. GudjohnsenM. Lahdo
72′			Y. GeigerL. Assadi
72′			M. ThychosenE. Edh
86′			BusanelloN. John
86′			K. BusuladzicI. Assibu
86′			L. CarlstrandL. Jareteg
88′			Amel Mujanić
90′			O. RosengrenV. Jeppsson

Eleda Stadion, MalmöReferee: Oscar Johnson, Sweden

Malmo FF

52%

Draw

23%

AIK Stockholm

25%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

20	Shots	12
6	Shots on target	3
61	Possession %	39
9	Corners	3
10	Fouls	12
2	Offsides	1
3	Saves	6
503	Accurate passes	327

Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Malmo FF	Draw	AIK Stockholm
Model	42.5%	23.5%	34.1%
Market	55.2%	22.9%	21.8%
Final	52.1%	23.0%	24.9%
Edge	-12.8%	+0.6%	+12.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

96%

2+ goals

89%

3+ goals

70%

No goals

Malmo FF and AIK Stockholm expected goals

Malmo FF

1.92

AIK Stockholm

1.71

Total expected goals: 3.63

Malmo FF and AIK Stockholm attack and defence ratings

Malmo FF

Attack

1.25 +25%

Defence

1.00 +0%

AIK Stockholm

Attack

1.28 +28%

Defence

0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm: result vs prediction

Malmo FF 0 – 0 AIK Stockholm

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 20 fixtures

Allsvenskan

Gais vs BK Hacken — team news & stats · 2026-09-05
Degerfors IF vs Halmstad · 2026-09-05
Vasteras SK FK v Sirius — match page · 2026-09-05
Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF — team news & stats · 2026-09-06
IF Brommapojkarna vs IF Elfsborg · 2026-09-06
Kalmar FF v Djurgardens IF — match page · 2026-09-07
Mjallby AIF vs IFK Goteborg · 2026-09-07

Before and after this match

Malmo FF, previous: Sirius vs Malmo FF prediction
Malmo FF, next: Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS prediction
AIK Stockholm, previous: AIK Stockholm – Hammarby FF, 2026-08-30
AIK Stockholm, next: AIK Stockholm vs Vasteras SK FK prediction

Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Malmo FF	52.1%	1.92	-12.8%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	70.2%	1.42	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	70.8%	1.41	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	77.0%	1.30	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	57.5%	1.74	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Malmo FF	52.1%
	Draw	23.0%
	AIK Stockholm	24.9%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	70.2%
	Under 2.5	29.8%
Both teams to score	Yes	70.8%
	No	29.2%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	75.1%
	12 (either side)	77.0%
	X2 (draw or away)	47.9%
Handicap -1	Malmo FF win	23.8%
	Push (exactly one goal)	18.6%
	Loss	57.5%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	9.6%
	2-1	8.4%
	1-2	7.4%

Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm stats

Malmo FF and AIK Stockholm recent form

newest first

Malmo FF	WWLWLW
AIK Stockholm	WWWWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Malmo FF and AIK Stockholm going into this match

league record before kick-off

Malmo FF record

They have won 9 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
They have kept 6 clean sheets in 19 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

AIK Stockholm record

They have won 9 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 19 matches.
They have failed to score in 5 of 19 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Malmo FF wins 4Draws 1AIK Stockholm wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-27	AIK Stockholm	Malmo FF	Allsvenskan	0-1
2025-05-22	Malmo FF	AIK Stockholm	Allsvenskan	0-0
2025-04-14	AIK Stockholm	Malmo FF	Allsvenskan	0-0
2024-09-15	AIK Stockholm	Malmo FF	Allsvenskan	0-0
2024-04-28	Malmo FF	AIK Stockholm	Allsvenskan	5-0
2023-07-23	AIK Stockholm	Malmo FF	Allsvenskan	0-0
2023-05-07	Malmo FF	AIK Stockholm	Allsvenskan	3-1
2022-05-11	AIK Stockholm	Malmo FF	Allsvenskan	2-0
2022-04-17	Malmo FF	AIK Stockholm	Allsvenskan	3-0
2022-03-14	Malmo FF	AIK Stockholm	Svenska Cupen	3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.2%, draw 22.9%, away 21.8%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	1.70	4.10	4.20
1xBet	1.69	4.10	4.30
Bet365	1.70	4.00	4.33
BetVictor	1.65	3.90	4.33
Betano	1.70	4.00	4.25
Betfair	1.67	4.10	4.33
Dafabet	1.71	4.20	4.40
Marathonbet	1.67	4.10	4.35
Pinnacle	1.72	4.17	4.45
SBO	1.70	3.73	4.00
Superbet	1.69	4.10	4.30
Unibet	1.71	4.10	4.10
William Hill	1.67	3.90	4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.70 ▼ -0.01

X 4.10 ▲ +0.05

2 4.30 ▲ +0.14

14 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-01T08:10:01Z.