Allsvenskan · Full time ·Matchday 20

Kalmar FF vs Djurgardens IF

0 – 1 Full time

5′Abdussalam Magashy
40′Christos Almyras
46′P. AslundO. Fallenius
46′K. LienC. Rosenqvist
61′Bo Åsulv Hegland
63′Max Larsson
65′B. Hegland
68′E. DallM. Stolt
71′J. OkkelsA. Stahl
71′C. AlmyrasP. Langhoff
72′A. MagashyM. Hallberg
72′T. LauritsenN. Shamoun
87′B. HeglandM. Marques
88′V. LarssonL. Saetra

Guldfågeln Arena, KalmarReferee: Kristoffer Karlsson, Sweden

Kalmar FF 19%
Draw 24%
Djurgardens IF 57%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 6
1 Shots on target 2
49 Possession % 51
3 Corners 6
14 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 4
1 Saves 2
367 Accurate passes 401

Kalmar FF vs Djurgardens IF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kalmar FF vs Djurgardens IF

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKalmar FFDrawDjurgardens IF
Model18.6%23.3%58.1%
Market19.6%23.9%56.5%
Final19.4%23.8%56.9%
Edge-1.1%-0.6%+1.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Djurgardens IF

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.06.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kalmar FF ↓ / Djurgardens IF → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 8% 9% 6% 1 11% 10% 7% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Kalmar FF and Djurgardens IF expected goals

Kalmar FF 1.06
Djurgardens IF 2.00

Total expected goals: 3.06

Kalmar FF and Djurgardens IF attack and defence ratings

Kalmar FF

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Djurgardens IF

Attack 1.53 +53%
Defence 0.65 -35%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kalmar FF vs Djurgardens IF: result vs prediction

Kalmar FF 0 – 1 Djurgardens IF

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 20 fixtures

Allsvenskan

Before and after this match

Kalmar FF vs Djurgardens IF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Djurgardens IF 56.9% 1.76 +1.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.0% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.5% 1.74 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 80.6% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.9% 2.39 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kalmar FF19.4%
Draw23.8%
Djurgardens IF56.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.0%
Under 2.541.0%
Both teams to scoreYes57.5%
No42.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)43.1%
12 (either side)76.2%
X2 (draw or away)80.6%
Handicap -1Djurgardens IF win35.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.5%
Loss41.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.9%
1-29.9%
0-29.4%

Kalmar FF vs Djurgardens IF stats

Kalmar FF and Djurgardens IF recent form

newest first
Kalmar FF LDWLLD
Djurgardens IF WWWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kalmar FF and Djurgardens IF going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kalmar FF record

  • They have won 5 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 19 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 19 matches.

Djurgardens IF record

  • They have won 11 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 19 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 19 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kalmar FF vs Djurgardens IF head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Kalmar FF wins 1Draws 6Djurgardens IF wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-12Djurgardens IFKalmar FFAllsvenskan3-2
2024-10-06Djurgardens IFKalmar FFAllsvenskan1-1
2024-07-20Kalmar FFDjurgardens IFAllsvenskan2-1
2023-11-12Kalmar FFDjurgardens IFAllsvenskan2-1
2023-05-08Djurgardens IFKalmar FFAllsvenskan3-1
2022-08-14Djurgardens IFKalmar FFAllsvenskan3-2
2022-05-22Kalmar FFDjurgardens IFAllsvenskan1-0
2022-03-12Kalmar FFDjurgardens IFSvenska Cupen0-2
2021-10-23Djurgardens IFKalmar FFAllsvenskan3-2
2021-07-25Kalmar FFDjurgardens IFAllsvenskan0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kalmar FF vs Djurgardens IF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 19.6%, draw 23.9%, away 56.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 4.75 3.90 1.65
1xBet 4.74 4.00 1.65
Bet365 5.00 3.90 1.67
BetVictor 4.75 3.90 1.60
Betano 4.75 3.85 1.67
Betfair 4.75 4.00 1.62
Dafabet 4.90 4.10 1.67
Marathonbet 4.80 4.00 1.63
Pinnacle 4.97 4.23 1.65
SBO 4.39 3.67 1.65
Superbet 4.65 4.00 1.65
Unibet 4.90 3.80 1.66
William Hill 4.60 3.80 1.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.75 ▲ +0.62
X 3.90 ▲ +0.12
2 1.65 ▼ -0.10

14 snapshots recorded, from .