Halmstad
vs
Kalmar FF
1 – 0 Full time
Halmstad vs Kalmar FF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Halmstad vs Kalmar FF
| Probability | Halmstad | Draw | Kalmar FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.0% | 24.9% | 56.0% |
| Market | 27.5% | 27.2% | 45.4% |
| Final | 25.4% | 26.6% | 48.0% |
| Edge | -8.4% | -2.2% | +10.7% |
Why Kalmar FF
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.99.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Kalmar FF below the model: +10.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Halmstad and Kalmar FF expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.81
Halmstad and Kalmar FF attack and defence ratings
Halmstad
Kalmar FF
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Halmstad vs Kalmar FF: result vs prediction
Halmstad 1 – 0 Kalmar FF
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 19 fixtures
Before and after this match
Halmstad vs Kalmar FF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kalmar FF | 48.0% | 2.08 | +10.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.0% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Halmstad | 25.4% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Kalmar FF | 48.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% |
| No | 46.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kalmar FF win | 32.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 44.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 0-2 | 10.0% | |
| 1-2 | 9.9% |
Halmstad vs Kalmar FF stats
Halmstad and Kalmar FF recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Halmstad and Kalmar FF going into this match
Halmstad record
- They have won 2 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 20 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kalmar FF record
- They have won 5 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 19 matches.
Halmstad vs Kalmar FF head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Kalmar FF | Halmstad | Allsvenskan | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Halmstad | Kalmar FF | Friendlies Clubs | 0-4 |
| 2025-03-21 | Kalmar FF | Halmstad | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
| 2024-09-26 | Halmstad | Kalmar FF | Allsvenskan | 2-2 |
| 2024-05-04 | Kalmar FF | Halmstad | Allsvenskan | 5-2 |
| 2023-11-05 | Halmstad | Kalmar FF | Allsvenskan | 3-0 |
| 2023-06-21 | Halmstad | Kalmar FF | Friendlies Clubs | 0-3 |
| 2023-04-23 | Kalmar FF | Halmstad | Allsvenskan | 2-0 |
| 2021-09-19 | Halmstad | Kalmar FF | Allsvenskan | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Halmstad vs Kalmar FF odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.5%, draw 27.2%, away 45.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| 1xBet | 3.44 | 3.44 | 2.06 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.45 | 3.40 | 2.07 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 3.50 | 3.50 | 2.09 |
| Marathonbet | 3.44 | 3.44 | 2.04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.48 | 3.49 | 2.06 |
| SBO | 3.02 | 3.02 | 2.06 |
| Superbet | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.07 |
| Unibet | 3.40 | 3.45 | 2.06 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .