IF Elfsborg
vs
Degerfors IF
2 – 0 Full time
IF Elfsborg vs Degerfors IF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: IF Elfsborg vs Degerfors IF
| Probability | IF Elfsborg | Draw | Degerfors IF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.7% | 25.1% | 18.2% |
| Market | 59.9% | 23.5% | 16.6% |
| Final | 59.1% | 23.9% | 17.0% |
| Edge | -3.2% | +1.6% | +1.6% |
Why IF Elfsborg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
IF Elfsborg and Degerfors IF expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.75
IF Elfsborg and Degerfors IF attack and defence ratings
IF Elfsborg
Degerfors IF
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
IF Elfsborg vs Degerfors IF: result vs prediction
IF Elfsborg 2 – 0 Degerfors IF
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 19 fixtures
Before and after this match
IF Elfsborg vs Degerfors IF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IF Elfsborg | 59.1% | 1.69 | -3.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IF Elfsborg | 59.1% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Degerfors IF | 17.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.0% |
| No | 48.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | IF Elfsborg win | 33.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 43.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 1-0 | 10.5% | |
| 2-0 | 10.5% |
IF Elfsborg vs Degerfors IF stats
IF Elfsborg and Degerfors IF recent form
| IF Elfsborg |
DWWWWL |
| Degerfors IF |
LWWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
IF Elfsborg and Degerfors IF going into this match
IF Elfsborg record
- They have won 8 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Degerfors IF record
- They have won 4 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 19 matches.
IF Elfsborg vs Degerfors IF head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Degerfors IF | IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | IF Elfsborg | Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-19 | Degerfors IF | IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-15 | IF Elfsborg | Degerfors IF | Friendlies Clubs | 4-1 |
| 2024-03-03 | IF Elfsborg | Degerfors IF | Svenska Cupen | 2-2 |
| 2023-11-05 | IF Elfsborg | Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan | 2-2 |
| 2023-04-22 | Degerfors IF | IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan | 1-2 |
| 2023-03-18 | IF Elfsborg | Degerfors IF | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2022-10-14 | IF Elfsborg | Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
IF Elfsborg vs Degerfors IF odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.9%, draw 23.5%, away 16.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.55 | 3.90 | 6.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 3.95 | 5.64 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 3.85 | 5.70 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.58 | 4.10 | 5.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.55 | 3.95 | 5.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56 | 4.00 | 5.79 |
| SBO | 1.50 | 3.57 | 4.94 |
| Superbet | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.45 |
| Unibet | 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 3.70 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .