IFK Goteborg
vs
Orgryte IS
1 – 0 Full time
IFK Goteborg vs Orgryte IS overview
Garuda Lions analysis: IFK Goteborg vs Orgryte IS
| Probability | IFK Goteborg | Draw | Orgryte IS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.4% | 23.8% | 33.9% |
| Market | 59.9% | 21.8% | 18.3% |
| Final | 55.5% | 22.3% | 22.2% |
| Edge | -17.5% | +1.9% | +15.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
IFK Goteborg and Orgryte IS expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.56
IFK Goteborg and Orgryte IS attack and defence ratings
IFK Goteborg
Orgryte IS
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
IFK Goteborg vs Orgryte IS: result vs prediction
IFK Goteborg 1 – 0 Orgryte IS
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 19 fixtures
Before and after this match
IFK Goteborg vs Orgryte IS markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IFK Goteborg | 55.5% | 1.80 | -17.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IFK Goteborg | 55.5% |
| Draw | 22.3% | |
| Orgryte IS | 22.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.8% |
| No | 30.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | IFK Goteborg win | 23.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 57.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 7.5% |
IFK Goteborg vs Orgryte IS stats
IFK Goteborg and Orgryte IS recent form
| IFK Goteborg |
DLDWLW |
| Orgryte IS |
WDLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
IFK Goteborg and Orgryte IS going into this match
IFK Goteborg record
- They have won 7 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 20 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Orgryte IS record
- They have won 3 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 19 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IFK Goteborg vs Orgryte IS head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | Orgryte IS | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
IFK Goteborg vs Orgryte IS odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.9%, draw 21.8%, away 18.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 4.30 | 5.06 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 4.20 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.15 | 5.10 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.58 | 4.50 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.55 | 4.30 | 5.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57 | 4.42 | 5.06 |
| SBO | 1.50 | 3.86 | 4.50 |
| Unibet | 1.52 | 4.35 | 5.50 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .