Sirius
vs
Malmo FF
0 – 1 Full time
| 21′ | Tobias Anker | ||
| 34′ | Diego García | ||
| 43′ | Mohamed Soumah | ||
| 44′ | D. Garcia | ||
| 53′ | Adrian Skogmar | ||
| 55′ | O. AdinduZ. Vancsa | ||
| 55′ | V. SvenssonN. Jonsson | ||
| 55′ | J. PerssonJ. Uneken | ||
| 63′ | S. GregersenM. Palsson | ||
| 63′ | D. GarciaE. Botheim | ||
| 63′ | J. MilosavljevicI. Assibu | ||
| 74′ | T. LundberghB. Kurtulus | ||
| 86′ | S. HaksabanovicN. John |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 2 |
| 404 | Accurate passes | 360 |
Sirius vs Malmo FF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sirius vs Malmo FF
| Probability | Sirius | Draw | Malmo FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.8% | 20.5% | 29.7% |
| Market | 52.8% | 22.3% | 24.9% |
| Final | 52.1% | 21.8% | 26.1% |
| Edge | -3.0% | -1.7% | +4.7% |
Why Sirius
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.43 vs 1.88.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sirius and Malmo FF expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.31
Sirius and Malmo FF attack and defence ratings
Sirius
Malmo FF
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sirius vs Malmo FF: result vs prediction
Sirius 0 – 1 Malmo FF
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 19 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sirius vs Malmo FF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sirius | 52.1% | 1.92 | -3.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.3% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sirius | 52.1% |
| Draw | 21.8% | |
| Malmo FF | 26.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 19.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.9% |
| No | 22.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sirius win | 31.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 50.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.5% |
| 2-2 | 7.0% | |
| 1-1 | 6.8% |
Sirius vs Malmo FF stats
Sirius and Malmo FF recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sirius and Malmo FF going into this match
Sirius record
- They have won 13 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Malmo FF record
- They have won 9 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sirius vs Malmo FF head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | Malmo FF | Sirius | Allsvenskan | 2-3 |
| 2025-10-05 | Sirius | Malmo FF | Allsvenskan | 5-1 |
| 2025-04-18 | Malmo FF | Sirius | Allsvenskan | 1-1 |
| 2024-07-27 | Malmo FF | Sirius | Allsvenskan | 0-1 |
| 2024-07-19 | Sirius | Malmo FF | Allsvenskan | 3-4 |
| 2023-08-28 | Sirius | Malmo FF | Allsvenskan | 1-3 |
| 2023-07-01 | Malmo FF | Sirius | Allsvenskan | 3-0 |
| 2022-08-07 | Sirius | Malmo FF | Allsvenskan | 2-1 |
| 2022-07-23 | Malmo FF | Sirius | Allsvenskan | 3-1 |
| 2021-10-30 | Sirius | Malmo FF | Allsvenskan | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sirius vs Malmo FF odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.8%, draw 22.3%, away 24.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.77 | 4.20 | 3.75 |
| 1xBet | 1.76 | 4.20 | 3.84 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 4.33 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 4.20 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 4.10 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.81 | 4.30 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 4.20 | 3.86 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79 | 4.43 | 3.82 |
| SBO | 1.79 | 3.78 | 3.53 |
| Superbet | 1.80 | 4.10 | 3.70 |
| Unibet | 1.82 | 4.00 | 3.65 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 4.00 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .