Svenska Cupen · Full time ·Final

Lindo FF vs Malmo FF

1 – 5 Full time

Lindo FF 13%
Draw 14%
Malmo FF 74%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Lindo FF vs Malmo FF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Lindo FF vs Malmo FF

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLindo FFDrawMalmo FF
Model38.6%24.9%36.5%
Market3.9%10.0%86.1%
Final12.6%13.7%73.7%
Edge+34.7%+14.9%-49.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Malmo FF

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Lindo FF ↓ / Malmo FF → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 5%

Lindo FF and Malmo FF expected goals

Lindo FF 1.69
Malmo FF 1.63

Total expected goals: 3.33

Lindo FF and Malmo FF attack and defence ratings

Lindo FF

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Malmo FF

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Lindo FF vs Malmo FF: result vs prediction

Lindo FF 1 – 5 Malmo FF

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Final fixtures

Svenska Cupen

Before and after this match

Lindo FF vs Malmo FF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Malmo FF 73.7% 1.36 -49.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.6% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.7% 1.50 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 87.4% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.7% 1.57 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Lindo FF12.6%
Draw13.7%
Malmo FF73.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.6%
Under 2.535.4%
Both teams to scoreYes66.7%
No33.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)26.3%
12 (either side)86.3%
X2 (draw or away)87.4%
Handicap -1Malmo FF win18.6%
Push (exactly one goal)17.7%
Loss63.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.9%
2-18.4%
1-28.1%

Lindo FF vs Malmo FF stats

Lindo FF and Malmo FF recent form

newest first
Lindo FF W
Malmo FF LWLWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Lindo FF vs Malmo FF head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Lindo FF vs Malmo FF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 3.9%, draw 10.0%, away 86.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 23.00 9.25 1.05
1xBet 23.00 9.00 1.05
Bet365 29.00 13.00 1.05
BetVictor 11.50 6.00 1.06
Betano 18.00 8.75 1.09
Betfair 26.00 12.00 1.04
Dafabet 26.00 12.00 1.06
Marathonbet 23.00 9.00 1.05
SBO 13.96 6.95 1.06
Superbet 21.00 12.00 1.04
Unibet 14.00 9.50 1.08
William Hill 29.00 9.00 1.08

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 23.00 ▲ +2.00
X 9.12 ▼ -0.88
2 1.06 ▼ -0.02

3 snapshots recorded, from .