Garuda Lions
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Allsvenskan · Full time ·Matchday 18

Malmo FF vs Djurgardens IF

0 – 3 Full time

Eleda Stadion, MalmöReferee: Joakim Ostling, Sweden

Malmo FF 35%
Draw 26%
Djurgardens IF 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Malmo FF vs Djurgardens IF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Malmo FF vs Djurgardens IF

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMalmo FFDrawDjurgardens IF
Model33.0%24.1%42.9%
Market35.6%26.6%37.8%
Final35.0%26.0%39.0%
Edge-2.6%-2.5%+5.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Djurgardens IF

  • The market prices Djurgardens IF below the model: +5.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Malmo FF ↓ / Djurgardens IF → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 10% 9% 5% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

Malmo FF and Djurgardens IF expected goals

Malmo FF 1.61
Djurgardens IF 1.85

Total expected goals: 3.46

Malmo FF and Djurgardens IF attack and defence ratings

Malmo FF

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Djurgardens IF

Attack 1.34 +34%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Malmo FF vs Djurgardens IF: result vs prediction

Malmo FF 0 – 3 Djurgardens IF

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 18 fixtures

Allsvenskan

Before and after this match

Malmo FF vs Djurgardens IF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Djurgardens IF 39.0% 2.56 +5.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.2% 1.49 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.4% 1.46 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.0% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.1% 1.75 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Malmo FF35.0%
Draw26.0%
Djurgardens IF39.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.2%
Under 2.532.8%
Both teams to scoreYes68.4%
No31.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.0%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)65.0%
Handicap -1Djurgardens IF win23.8%
Push (exactly one goal)19.1%
Loss57.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.3%
1-28.7%
2-17.5%

Malmo FF vs Djurgardens IF stats

Malmo FF and Djurgardens IF recent form

newest first
Malmo FF WLWLDW
Djurgardens IF LLWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Malmo FF and Djurgardens IF going into this match

league record before kick-off

Malmo FF record

  • They have won 9 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 19 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Djurgardens IF record

  • They have won 11 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 19 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 19 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Malmo FF vs Djurgardens IF head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Malmo FF wins 3Draws 3Djurgardens IF wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-17Djurgardens IFMalmo FFAllsvenskan0-1
2025-09-20Malmo FFDjurgardens IFAllsvenskan0-1
2025-03-29Djurgardens IFMalmo FFAllsvenskan0-1
2024-09-01Malmo FFDjurgardens IFAllsvenskan4-0
2024-05-01Malmo FFDjurgardens IFSvenska Cupen1-1
2024-04-25Djurgardens IFMalmo FFAllsvenskan0-1
2023-08-20Malmo FFDjurgardens IFAllsvenskan0-0
2023-07-17Djurgardens IFMalmo FFAllsvenskan2-0
2023-03-12Djurgardens IFMalmo FFSvenska Cupen2-2
2022-10-20Malmo FFDjurgardens IFAllsvenskan2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Malmo FF vs Djurgardens IF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.7%, draw 26.6%, away 37.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.50 3.65 2.50
1xBet 2.65 3.48 2.45
888Sport 2.60 3.30 2.45
Bet365 2.80 3.60 2.35
BetVictor 2.55 3.50 2.38
Betano 2.62 3.55 2.47
Betfair 2.55 3.50 2.55
Dafabet 2.65 3.65 2.50
Marathonbet 2.65 3.48 2.45
Pinnacle 2.74 3.63 2.49
SBO 2.45 3.28 2.52
Superbet 2.62 3.50 2.47
Unibet 2.50 3.55 2.55
William Hill 2.60 3.30 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.62 ▲ +0.07
X 3.50 ▼ -0.05
2 2.47 ▼ -0.03

6 snapshots recorded, from .