Vasteras SK FK vs Kalmar FF Prediction — 23 Aug 2026

Vasteras SK FK vs Kalmar FF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vasteras SK FK vs Kalmar FF

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Vasteras SK FK	Draw	Kalmar FF
Model	31.0%	23.1%	45.8%
Market	35.8%	27.8%	36.5%
Final	34.6%	26.6%	38.8%
Edge	-4.7%	-4.6%	+9.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Kalmar FF

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 1.64.
The market prices Kalmar FF below the model: +9.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

97%

2+ goals

89%

3+ goals

71%

No goals

3%

Vasteras SK FK and Kalmar FF expected goals

Vasteras SK FK

1.64

Kalmar FF

2.01

Total expected goals: 3.65

Vasteras SK FK and Kalmar FF attack and defence ratings

Vasteras SK FK

Attack

0.96 -4%

Defence

1.15 +15%

Kalmar FF

Attack

1.28 +28%

Defence

1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Vasteras SK FK vs Kalmar FF: result vs prediction

Vasteras SK FK 0 – 0 Kalmar FF

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 18 fixtures

Allsvenskan

Sirius v BK Hacken — match page · 2026-08-21
Orgryte IS vs Halmstad — team news & stats · 2026-08-22
IFK Goteborg vs IF Elfsborg · 2026-08-23
Hammarby FF vs Gais — team news & stats · 2026-08-23
IF Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors IF · 2026-08-23
Malmo FF v Djurgardens IF — match page · 2026-08-24
AIK Stockholm vs Mjallby AIF · 2026-09-16

Before and after this match

Vasteras SK FK, previous: Enköping vs Vasteras SK FK prediction
Vasteras SK FK, next: BK Hacken v Vasteras SK FK analysis
Kalmar FF, previous: Angelholms FF – Kalmar FF, 2026-08-19
Kalmar FF, next: Halmstad vs Kalmar FF prediction

Vasteras SK FK vs Kalmar FF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Kalmar FF	38.8%	2.58	+9.3%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	70.6%	1.42	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	70.7%	1.42	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	73.4%	1.36	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	54.2%	1.85	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Vasteras SK FK	34.6%
	Draw	26.6%
	Kalmar FF	38.8%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	70.6%
	Under 2.5	29.4%
Both teams to score	Yes	70.7%
	No	29.3%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	61.2%
	12 (either side)	73.4%
	X2 (draw or away)	65.4%
Handicap -1	Kalmar FF win	26.6%
	Push (exactly one goal)	19.2%
	Loss	54.2%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	9.4%
	1-2	8.6%
	2-2	7.1%

Vasteras SK FK vs Kalmar FF stats

Vasteras SK FK and Kalmar FF recent form

newest first

Vasteras SK FK	WLWLWD
Kalmar FF	WLLDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Vasteras SK FK and Kalmar FF going into this match

league record before kick-off

Vasteras SK FK record

They have won 8 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
They have kept 6 clean sheets in 20 matches.
They have failed to score in 7 of 20 matches.

Kalmar FF record

They have won 5 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 19 matches.
They have failed to score in 8 of 19 matches.

Vasteras SK FK vs Kalmar FF head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Vasteras SK FK wins 1Draws 1Kalmar FF wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-05	Kalmar FF	Vasteras SK FK	Allsvenskan	0-1
2025-09-14	Kalmar FF	Vasteras SK FK	Superettan	2-1
2025-05-06	Vasteras SK FK	Kalmar FF	Superettan	2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Vasteras SK FK vs Kalmar FF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.8%, draw 27.6%, away 36.5%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.55	3.40	2.55
1xBet	2.60	3.34	2.58
888Sport	2.60	3.20	2.50
Bet365	2.62	3.40	2.55
BetVictor	2.55	3.40	2.45
Betano	2.70	3.35	2.47
Betfair	2.55	3.50	2.50
Dafabet	2.70	3.50	2.55
Marathonbet	2.59	3.34	2.59
Pinnacle	2.67	3.44	2.65
SBO	2.56	3.22	2.44
Superbet	2.65	3.35	2.55
Unibet	2.48	3.40	2.65
William Hill	2.60	3.20	2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.60 —

X 3.35 —

2 2.55 —

3 snapshots recorded, from 2026-08-22T08:43:07Z.