Hammarby FF
vs
Gais
2 – 0 Full time
Hammarby FF vs Gais overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hammarby FF vs Gais
| Probability | Hammarby FF | Draw | Gais |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.1% | 27.4% | 17.5% |
| Market | 67.5% | 19.3% | 13.1% |
| Final | 64.4% | 21.4% | 14.2% |
| Edge | -12.5% | +8.1% | +4.4% |
Why Hammarby FF
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.80.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hammarby FF and Gais expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.39
Hammarby FF and Gais attack and defence ratings
Hammarby FF
Gais
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hammarby FF vs Gais: result vs prediction
Hammarby FF 2 – 0 Gais
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 18 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hammarby FF vs Gais markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hammarby FF | 64.4% | 1.55 | -12.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hammarby FF | 64.4% |
| Draw | 21.4% | |
| Gais | 14.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.9% |
| No | 55.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hammarby FF win | 30.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.9% | |
| Loss | 44.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.4% |
| 1-1 | 12.8% | |
| 2-0 | 11.6% |
Hammarby FF vs Gais stats
Hammarby FF and Gais recent form
| Hammarby FF |
WLWDLD |
| Gais |
LWLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hammarby FF and Gais going into this match
Hammarby FF record
- They have won 11 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gais record
- They have won 7 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 19 matches.
Hammarby FF vs Gais head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Gais | Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Hammarby FF | Gais | Allsvenskan | 1-2 |
| 2025-07-13 | Gais | Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hammarby FF vs Gais odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 67.3%, draw 19.6%, away 13.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.44 | 4.50 | 6.80 |
| 1xBet | 1.37 | 4.95 | 7.37 |
| 888Sport | 1.36 | 4.60 | 6.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 4.50 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.42 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.42 | 4.90 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 4.95 | 7.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.38 | 5.23 | 7.69 |
| SBO | 1.36 | 4.41 | 6.28 |
| Superbet | 1.41 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
| Unibet | 1.35 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.60 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .