Allsvenskan
·
Full time
·Matchday 18
AIK Stockholm
vs
Mjallby AIF
1 – 1 Full time
| 19′ | Jacob Bergstrom | ||
| 33′ | Ali Youssef | ||
| 34′ | Abdihakin Ali | ||
| 40′ | axel kouame | ||
| 45′ | Áki SamuelsenOlle Lindberg | ||
| 60′ | Olle Lindberg | ||
| 70′ | Tony MiettinenTom Pettersson | ||
| 75′ | Lucas AssadiSixten Gustafsson | ||
| 81′ | Max NielsenIan Hoffmann | ||
| 82′ | Sebastian Lund HausnerWilmer Olofsson | ||
| 89′ | Viktor Gustafson | ||
| 90′ | Ali YoussefJeppe Kjaer Jensen |
AIK Stockholm
49%
Draw
25%
Mjallby AIF
26%
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 71 | Possession % | 29 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 6 | Saves | 5 |
| 603 | Accurate passes | 191 |
AIK Stockholm vs Mjallby AIF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AIK Stockholm vs Mjallby AIF
| Probability | AIK Stockholm | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.7% | 19.2% | 12.1% |
| Market | 42.1% | 27.0% | 30.9% |
| Final | 48.8% | 25.0% | 26.2% |
| Edge | +26.5% | -7.7% | -18.8% |
Why AIK Stockholm
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices AIK Stockholm below the model: +26.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
63%
No goals
5%
AIK Stockholm and Mjallby AIF expected goals
AIK Stockholm
2.35
Mjallby AIF
0.91
Total expected goals: 3.27
AIK Stockholm and Mjallby AIF attack and defence ratings
AIK Stockholm
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Mjallby AIF
Attack
0.63 -37%
Defence
1.33 +33%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AIK Stockholm vs Mjallby AIF: result vs prediction
AIK Stockholm 1 – 1 Mjallby AIF
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 18 fixtures
Before and after this match
AIK Stockholm vs Mjallby AIF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AIK Stockholm | 48.8% | 2.05 | +26.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | AIK Stockholm win | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AIK Stockholm | 48.8% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Mjallby AIF | 26.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% |
| No | 45.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | AIK Stockholm win | 46.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 31.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-1 | 9.0% |
AIK Stockholm vs Mjallby AIF stats
AIK Stockholm and Mjallby AIF recent form
| AIK Stockholm |
LDWWWW |
| Mjallby AIF |
DLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AIK Stockholm and Mjallby AIF going into this match
AIK Stockholm record
- They have won 9 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mjallby AIF record
- They have won 5 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AIK Stockholm vs Mjallby AIF head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
6AIK Stockholm wins
2Draws
2Mjallby AIF wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Mjallby AIF | AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan | 1-2 |
| 2025-07-20 | Mjallby AIF | AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-11 | AIK Stockholm | Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-11 | AIK Stockholm | Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-13 | Mjallby AIF | AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-09 | Mjallby AIF | AIK Stockholm | Svenska Cupen | 1-3 |
| 2023-10-07 | AIK Stockholm | Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan | 1-0 |
| 2023-05-03 | Mjallby AIF | AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan | 0-0 |
| 2022-10-30 | Mjallby AIF | AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan | 1-2 |
| 2022-07-02 | AIK Stockholm | Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AIK Stockholm vs Mjallby AIF odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.1%, draw 26.9%, away 30.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.22 | 3.44 | 3.05 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.45 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.18 | 3.45 | 3.06 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21 | 3.60 | 3.19 |
| SBO | 2.20 | 3.05 | 2.72 |
| Unibet | 2.23 | 3.45 | 3.00 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.20 ▼ -0.03
X
3.44 ▼ -0.01
2
3.00 —
12 snapshots recorded, from .