Allsvenskan
·
Full time
·Matchday 22
Mjallby AIF
vs
Gais
0 – 3 Full time
| 13′ | Joackim Aberg | ||
| 34′ | Abdullah Iqbal | ||
| 50′ | Tom Pettersson | ||
| 54′ | Nikola·Vasic | ||
| 55′ | Ian HoffmannÁki Samuelsen | ||
| 55′ | Olle LindbergJeppe Kjaer Jensen | ||
| 59′ | Nikola·Vasic | ||
| 64′ | Áki Samuelsen | ||
| 67′ | Viktor GustafsonMads Enggard | ||
| 69′ | Dennis CollanderAnes Cardaklija | ||
| 69′ | Joackim AbergJonas Lindberg | ||
| 69′ | Melvin AnderssonSimon Jørgensen | ||
| 77′ | Anes Cardaklija | ||
| 79′ | Nikola·VasicSamuel Salter | ||
| 80′ | Jacob BergstromLudvig Tidstrand | ||
| 80′ | William GranathMax Nielsen | ||
| 86′ | William MilovanovicMohamed·Bawa | ||
| 87′ | Mads Enggard |
Mjallby AIF
30%
Draw
27%
Gais
43%
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 21 | Fouls | 20 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 6 |
| 344 | Accurate passes | 354 |
Mjallby AIF vs Gais overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mjallby AIF vs Gais
| Probability | Mjallby AIF | Draw | Gais |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.3% | 25.7% | 57.9% |
| Market | 35.2% | 27.1% | 37.8% |
| Final | 30.5% | 26.7% | 42.8% |
| Edge | -18.8% | -1.3% | +20.1% |
Why Gais
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 0.81.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Gais below the model: +20.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
47%
No goals
9%
Mjallby AIF and Gais expected goals
Mjallby AIF
0.81
Gais
1.73
Total expected goals: 2.54
Mjallby AIF and Gais attack and defence ratings
Mjallby AIF
Attack
0.64 -36%
Defence
1.26 +26%
Gais
Attack
1.02 +2%
Defence
0.82 -18%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mjallby AIF vs Gais: result vs prediction
Mjallby AIF 0 – 3 Gais
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mjallby AIF vs Gais markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gais | 42.8% | 2.34 | +20.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mjallby AIF | 30.5% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Gais | 42.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.0% |
| No | 53.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gais win | 33.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.6% | |
| Loss | 41.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-1 | 12.2% | |
| 0-2 | 11.7% |
Mjallby AIF vs Gais stats
Mjallby AIF and Gais recent form
| Mjallby AIF |
DDLLLL |
| Gais |
LDWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mjallby AIF and Gais going into this match
Mjallby AIF record
- They have won 5 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gais record
- They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 21 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mjallby AIF vs Gais head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
4Mjallby AIF wins
3Draws
1Gais wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | Gais | Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Mjallby AIF | Gais | Svenska Cupen | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-25 | Gais | Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-06 | Mjallby AIF | Gais | Allsvenskan | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-26 | Mjallby AIF | Gais | Allsvenskan | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-21 | Gais | Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan | 2-1 |
| 2019-08-11 | Gais | Mjallby AIF | Superettan | 1-2 |
| 2019-05-26 | Mjallby AIF | Gais | Superettan | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mjallby AIF vs Gais odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.2%, draw 27.1%, away 37.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.67 | 3.42 | 2.45 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| Betano | 2.67 | 3.55 | 2.42 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.67 | 3.42 | 2.45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.73 | 3.58 | 2.52 |
| SBO | 2.61 | 3.28 | 2.37 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.30 | 2.45 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.63 ▼ -0.07
X
3.42 ▼ -0.03
2
2.45 ▲ +0.08
13 snapshots recorded, from .