Allsvenskan · Full time ·Matchday 22

Djurgardens IF vs IF Elfsborg

1 – 2 Full time

39′Daniel Stensson
44′Rasmus Wikström
45′Patric AslundOskar Fallenius
60′Jeppe OkkelsA. Abdulmalik
60′Piotr JohanssonMax Larsson
66′Jacob Une Larsson
75′Leo Hakan OstmanAri Sigurpalsson
75′Daniel StenssonPeter Langhoff
76′Simon Olsson
78′Bo Åsulv HeglandCharlie Rosenquist
84′Arbër ZeneliOssian nordvall
89′Björn Hamberg
89′Julius BeckSimon Hedlund
89′Simon OlssonViggo Elfstrom
90′Momoh Ibrahim KamaraDion Krasniqi
90′Miro TenhoAlexander Johansson

3Arena, StockholmReferee: Oscar Johnson

Djurgardens IF 61%
Draw 23%
IF Elfsborg 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 3
55 Possession % 45
4 Corners 7
8 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 1
1 Saves 1
458 Accurate passes 347

Djurgardens IF vs IF Elfsborg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Djurgardens IF vs IF Elfsborg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDjurgardens IFDrawIF Elfsborg
Model59.6%25.1%15.2%
Market61.5%22.0%16.5%
Final61.1%22.8%16.2%
Edge-1.9%+3.1%-1.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Djurgardens IF

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 0.79.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Djurgardens IF ↓ / IF Elfsborg → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 13% 12% 2 12% 10% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Djurgardens IF and IF Elfsborg expected goals

Djurgardens IF 1.77
IF Elfsborg 0.79

Total expected goals: 2.56

Djurgardens IF and IF Elfsborg attack and defence ratings

Djurgardens IF

Attack 1.65 +65%
Defence 0.56 -44%

IF Elfsborg

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Djurgardens IF vs IF Elfsborg: result vs prediction

Djurgardens IF 1 – 2 IF Elfsborg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 22 fixtures

Allsvenskan

Before and after this match

Djurgardens IF vs IF Elfsborg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Djurgardens IF 61.1% 1.64 -1.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.9% 1.89 — —
Both teams to score No 53.7% 1.86 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.8% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.4% 2.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Djurgardens IF61.1%
Draw22.8%
IF Elfsborg16.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.1%
Under 2.552.9%
Both teams to scoreYes46.3%
No53.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.8%
12 (either side)77.2%
X2 (draw or away)38.9%
Handicap -1Djurgardens IF win35.0%
Push (exactly one goal)24.7%
Loss40.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-012.6%
2-012.1%
1-111.9%

Djurgardens IF vs IF Elfsborg stats

Djurgardens IF and IF Elfsborg recent form

newest first
Djurgardens IF WWWWWW
IF Elfsborg WLWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Djurgardens IF and IF Elfsborg going into this match

league record before kick-off

Djurgardens IF record

  • They have won 13 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 21 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IF Elfsborg record

  • They have won 9 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Djurgardens IF vs IF Elfsborg head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Djurgardens IF wins 2Draws 4IF Elfsborg wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-22IF ElfsborgDjurgardens IFAllsvenskan2-1
2025-07-19Djurgardens IFIF ElfsborgAllsvenskan1-0
2025-05-19IF ElfsborgDjurgardens IFAllsvenskan4-0
2024-11-22Djurgardens IFIF ElfsborgFriendlies Clubs0-3
2024-07-28IF ElfsborgDjurgardens IFAllsvenskan1-2
2024-05-12Djurgardens IFIF ElfsborgAllsvenskan2-0
2023-07-22Djurgardens IFIF ElfsborgAllsvenskan0-4
2023-06-04IF ElfsborgDjurgardens IFAllsvenskan1-1
2022-08-29Djurgardens IFIF ElfsborgAllsvenskan2-1
2022-05-09IF ElfsborgDjurgardens IFAllsvenskan0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Djurgardens IF vs IF Elfsborg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 61.5%, draw 22.0%, away 16.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.49 4.33 5.97
Bet365 1.53 4.10 6.00
BetVictor 1.50 4.10 5.50
Betano 1.55 4.10 5.60
Betfair 1.50 4.33 5.50
Marathonbet 1.48 4.33 5.95
Pinnacle 1.53 4.61 5.76
SBO 1.51 4.00 5.13
William Hill 1.50 4.20 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.50 ▼ -0.17
X 4.20 ▲ +0.25
2 5.60 ▲ +1.04

13 snapshots recorded, from .