Allsvenskan · 2026-09-13T12:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 21

IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF

1 – 0 Full time

26′			Marius Soderback
51′			Momoh Ibrahim Kamara
57′			Malcolm StoltEskild Dall
57′			Abdussalam MagashyNassef Chourak
69′			Arbër ZeneliAri Sigurpalsson
69′			Tobias LauritsenMelker Hallberg
69′			Marius SoderbackNoah Shamoun
78′			Simon OlssonOssian nordvall
88′			Momoh Ibrahim KamaraPer Frick
88′			Julius BeckViggo Elfstrom
88′			Victor LarssonAlexander Almqvist

Borås Arena, BorasReferee: Joakim Ostling, Sweden

IF Elfsborg

50%

Draw

27%

Kalmar FF

23%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

13	Shots	16
5	Shots on target	3
49	Possession %	51
3	Corners	6
11	Fouls	14
1	Offsides	1
3	Saves	4
389	Accurate passes	441

IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	IF Elfsborg	Draw	Kalmar FF
Model	51.0%	27.6%	21.4%
Market	50.1%	26.2%	23.8%
Final	50.3%	26.5%	23.2%
Edge	+0.9%	+1.4%	-2.3%

Confidence: Low

Why IF Elfsborg

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.95.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

91%

2+ goals

73%

3+ goals

46%

No goals

IF Elfsborg and Kalmar FF expected goals

IF Elfsborg

1.58

Kalmar FF

0.95

Total expected goals: 2.53

IF Elfsborg and Kalmar FF attack and defence ratings

IF Elfsborg

Attack

1.10 +10%

Defence

0.74 -26%

Kalmar FF

Attack

0.95 -5%

Defence

0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF: result vs prediction

IF Elfsborg 1 – 0 Kalmar FF

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 21 fixtures

Allsvenskan

BK Hacken v Mjallby AIF — match page · 2026-09-11
AIK Stockholm vs Vasteras SK FK — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
IFK Goteborg vs Halmstad · 2026-09-12
Hammarby FF v IF Brommapojkarna — match page · 2026-09-13
Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS · 2026-09-13
Djurgardens IF v Gais — match page · 2026-09-14
Sirius vs Degerfors IF — team news & stats · 2026-09-14

Before and after this match

IF Elfsborg, previous: IF Brommapojkarna vs IF Elfsborg: odds and pick
IF Elfsborg, next: Djurgardens IF vs IF Elfsborg: odds and pick
Kalmar FF, previous: Kalmar FF vs Djurgardens IF prediction
Kalmar FF, next: Kalmar FF vs BK Hacken prediction

IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	IF Elfsborg	50.3%	1.99	+0.9%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	53.5%	1.87	—	—
Both teams to score	No	50.1%	2.00	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	76.8%	1.30	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	49.0%	2.04	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	IF Elfsborg	50.3%
	Draw	26.5%
	Kalmar FF	23.2%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	46.5%
	Under 2.5	53.5%
Both teams to score	Yes	49.9%
	No	50.1%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	76.8%
	12 (either side)	73.5%
	X2 (draw or away)	49.7%
Handicap -1	IF Elfsborg win	27.5%
	Push (exactly one goal)	23.5%
	Loss	49.0%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	13.1%
	1-0	11.4%
	2-0	10.0%

IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF stats

IF Elfsborg and Kalmar FF recent form

newest first

IF Elfsborg	LWDWWW
Kalmar FF	LLDWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

IF Elfsborg and Kalmar FF going into this match

league record before kick-off

IF Elfsborg record

They have won 8 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
They have kept 6 clean sheets in 20 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kalmar FF record

They have won 5 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
They have failed to score in 9 of 20 matches.

IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4IF Elfsborg wins 1Draws 5Kalmar FF wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-27	Kalmar FF	IF Elfsborg	Allsvenskan	2-1
2024-09-29	Kalmar FF	IF Elfsborg	Allsvenskan	1-3
2024-04-22	IF Elfsborg	Kalmar FF	Allsvenskan	1-2
2023-09-17	IF Elfsborg	Kalmar FF	Allsvenskan	0-3
2023-07-09	Kalmar FF	IF Elfsborg	Allsvenskan	0-4
2022-10-09	IF Elfsborg	Kalmar FF	Allsvenskan	0-2
2022-07-24	Kalmar FF	IF Elfsborg	Allsvenskan	1-0
2021-08-29	Kalmar FF	IF Elfsborg	Allsvenskan	0-3
2021-05-08	IF Elfsborg	Kalmar FF	Allsvenskan	2-2
2020-10-18	IF Elfsborg	Kalmar FF	Allsvenskan	3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.7%, draw 26.0%, away 23.3%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	1.80	3.65	4.10
1xBet	1.87	3.52	4.03
888Sport	1.83	3.40	4.00
Bet365	1.90	3.60	3.80
BetVictor	1.85	3.50	3.75
Betano	1.82	3.60	4.15
Betfair	1.85	3.70	3.90
Dafabet	1.88	3.65	4.10
Marathonbet	1.84	3.54	4.05
Pinnacle	1.88	3.70	4.10
SBO	1.82	3.14	3.55
Unibet	1.75	3.70	4.35
William Hill	1.85	3.40	3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.85 ▼ -0.14

X 3.54 ▲ +0.09

2 3.90 ▲ +0.34

13 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-07T08:10:02Z.