Allsvenskan
·
Full time
·Matchday 20
IF Brommapojkarna
vs
IF Elfsborg
2 – 1 Full time
| 2′ | A. Kurochkin | ||
| 5′ | Kaare Barslund | ||
| 46′ | K. SeverD. Isso | ||
| 63′ | M. Kamara | ||
| 68′ | L. CavalliusD. Blazevic | ||
| 74′ | Leo Östman | ||
| 79′ | J. BeckO. Nordvall | ||
| 79′ | L. OstmanA. Sigurpalsson | ||
| 82′ | R. OrqvistR. Bergvall | ||
| 82′ | A. KurochkinO. Okeke | ||
| 85′ | Alexander Jensen | ||
| 87′ | R. WikstromV. Elfstrom | ||
| 87′ | A. ZeneliD. Krasniqi | ||
| 90′ | W. OdefalkL. Bjorklund | ||
| 90′ | M. HansenS. Ngouali | ||
| 90′ | S. OlssonJ. Esenga | ||
| 90′ | V. Elfstrom |
IF Brommapojkarna
26%
Draw
26%
IF Elfsborg
48%
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 4 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 3 |
| 456 | Accurate passes | 558 |
IF Brommapojkarna vs IF Elfsborg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: IF Brommapojkarna vs IF Elfsborg
| Probability | IF Brommapojkarna | Draw | IF Elfsborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.3% | 26.0% | 53.6% |
| Market | 27.7% | 26.5% | 45.8% |
| Final | 25.9% | 26.4% | 47.7% |
| Edge | -7.4% | -0.5% | +7.9% |
Why IF Elfsborg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.98.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices IF Elfsborg below the model: +7.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
51%
No goals
8%
IF Brommapojkarna and IF Elfsborg expected goals
IF Brommapojkarna
0.98
IF Elfsborg
1.72
Total expected goals: 2.71
IF Brommapojkarna and IF Elfsborg attack and defence ratings
IF Brommapojkarna
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
1.13 +13%
IF Elfsborg
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
0.67 -33%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
IF Brommapojkarna vs IF Elfsborg: result vs prediction
IF Brommapojkarna 2 – 1 IF Elfsborg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
Before and after this match
IF Brommapojkarna vs IF Elfsborg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IF Elfsborg | 47.7% | 2.10 | +7.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.4% | 2.16 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IF Brommapojkarna | 25.9% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| IF Elfsborg | 47.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% |
| No | 47.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | IF Elfsborg win | 30.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 46.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 0-1 | 10.4% | |
| 0-2 | 9.9% |
IF Brommapojkarna vs IF Elfsborg stats
IF Brommapojkarna and IF Elfsborg recent form
| IF Brommapojkarna |
LLWWDL |
| IF Elfsborg |
WDWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
IF Brommapojkarna and IF Elfsborg going into this match
IF Brommapojkarna record
- They have won 6 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 19 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IF Elfsborg record
- They have won 8 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IF Brommapojkarna vs IF Elfsborg head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2IF Brommapojkarna wins
2Draws
6IF Elfsborg wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | IF Elfsborg | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-14 | IF Elfsborg | IF Brommapojkarna | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-30 | IF Brommapojkarna | IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan | 3-0 |
| 2025-05-15 | IF Elfsborg | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 4-3 |
| 2025-03-01 | IF Elfsborg | IF Brommapojkarna | Svenska Cupen | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-01 | IF Brommapojkarna | IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan | 3-3 |
| 2024-07-06 | IF Elfsborg | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 3-0 |
| 2023-10-08 | IF Brommapojkarna | IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan | 0-3 |
| 2023-04-15 | IF Elfsborg | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 5-0 |
| 2018-11-05 | IF Elfsborg | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
IF Brommapojkarna vs IF Elfsborg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.0%, draw 26.4%, away 45.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.30 | 3.55 | 2.05 |
| 1xBet | 3.38 | 3.55 | 2.04 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.07 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 3.40 | 3.65 | 2.07 |
| Marathonbet | 3.38 | 3.55 | 2.02 |
| Pinnacle | 3.47 | 3.68 | 2.07 |
| SBO | 3.08 | 3.17 | 2.04 |
| Unibet | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.94 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.38 ▲ +0.42
X
3.52 ▲ +0.07
2
2.04 ▼ -0.22
14 snapshots recorded, from .