Allsvenskan · 2026-09-07T17:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 20

Mjallby AIF vs IFK Goteborg

1 – 4 Full time

17′			Hjörtur Hermannsson
46′			T. PetterssonA. Noren
52′			Oliver Månsson
60′			M. NielsenI. Hoffmann
60′			N. Zugelj
64′			A. Simmelhack
69′			A. IqbalL. Tidstrand
69′			A. YoussefO. Lindberg
69′			O. ManssonK. Ackermann
69′			N. ZugeljM. Fenger
73′			Jesper Gustavsson
76′			J. GustavssonV. Gustafson
76′			S. Larsson
77′			Jeppe Kjaer
80′			S. Larsson
81′			A. SimmelhackI. Seidu
81′			H. HermannssonE. Fasth
84′			O. Lindberg
87′			S. LarssonL. Radakovic
90′			Ludvig Tidstrand

Strandvallen, HallevikReferee: Joakim Ostling, Sweden

Mjallby AIF

34%

Draw

26%

IFK Goteborg

39%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

8	Shots	20
1	Shots on target	11
50	Possession %	50
4	Corners	10
20	Fouls	21
3	Offsides	1
7	Saves	0
316	Accurate passes	315

Mjallby AIF vs IFK Goteborg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mjallby AIF vs IFK Goteborg

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Mjallby AIF	Draw	IFK Goteborg
Model	16.2%	22.7%	61.1%
Market	40.6%	27.5%	32.0%
Final	34.5%	26.3%	39.2%
Edge	-24.4%	-4.7%	+29.1%

Confidence: Low

Why IFK Goteborg

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 0.97.
Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
The market prices IFK Goteborg below the model: +29.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

94%

2+ goals

81%

3+ goals

58%

No goals

Mjallby AIF and IFK Goteborg expected goals

Mjallby AIF

0.97

IFK Goteborg

2.03

Total expected goals: 3.00

Mjallby AIF and IFK Goteborg attack and defence ratings

Mjallby AIF

Attack

0.65 -35%

Defence

1.29 +29%

IFK Goteborg

Attack

1.17 +17%

Defence

0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mjallby AIF vs IFK Goteborg: result vs prediction

Mjallby AIF 1 – 4 IFK Goteborg

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 20 fixtures

Allsvenskan

Gais vs BK Hacken — team news & stats · 2026-09-05
Degerfors IF vs Halmstad · 2026-09-05
Vasteras SK FK v Sirius — match page · 2026-09-05
Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF — team news & stats · 2026-09-06
IF Brommapojkarna vs IF Elfsborg · 2026-09-06
Kalmar FF v Djurgardens IF — match page · 2026-09-07
Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm — team news & stats · 2026-09-07

Before and after this match

Mjallby AIF, previous: Mjallby AIF v Djurgardens IF analysis
Mjallby AIF, next: BK Hacken vs Mjallby AIF: odds and pick
IFK Goteborg, previous: Olympic vs IFK Goteborg: odds and pick
IFK Goteborg, next: IFK Goteborg – Halmstad, 2026-09-12

Mjallby AIF vs IFK Goteborg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	IFK Goteborg	39.2%	2.55	+29.1%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	57.7%	1.73	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	54.8%	1.82	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	73.7%	1.36	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	38.9%	2.57	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Mjallby AIF	34.5%
	Draw	26.3%
	IFK Goteborg	39.2%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	57.7%
	Under 2.5	42.3%
Both teams to score	Yes	54.8%
	No	45.2%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	60.8%
	12 (either side)	73.7%
	X2 (draw or away)	65.5%
Handicap -1	IFK Goteborg win	38.1%
	Push (exactly one goal)	22.9%
	Loss	38.9%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	10.8%
	0-2	10.3%
	1-2	9.9%

Mjallby AIF vs IFK Goteborg stats

Mjallby AIF and IFK Goteborg recent form

newest first

Mjallby AIF	LLLLWL
IFK Goteborg	WWDLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mjallby AIF and IFK Goteborg going into this match

league record before kick-off

Mjallby AIF record

They have won 5 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 19 matches.
They have failed to score in 8 of 19 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IFK Goteborg record

They have won 7 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 6 of 20 matches.
They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mjallby AIF vs IFK Goteborg head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Mjallby AIF wins 3Draws 3IFK Goteborg wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-05-25	IFK Goteborg	Mjallby AIF	Allsvenskan	1-1
2025-10-20	IFK Goteborg	Mjallby AIF	Allsvenskan	0-2
2025-05-04	Mjallby AIF	IFK Goteborg	Allsvenskan	1-0
2024-11-10	Mjallby AIF	IFK Goteborg	Allsvenskan	1-0
2024-05-21	IFK Goteborg	Mjallby AIF	Allsvenskan	1-0
2023-09-24	Mjallby AIF	IFK Goteborg	Allsvenskan	0-1
2023-06-03	IFK Goteborg	Mjallby AIF	Allsvenskan	0-1
2022-09-05	Mjallby AIF	IFK Goteborg	Allsvenskan	1-4
2022-07-17	IFK Goteborg	Mjallby AIF	Allsvenskan	1-1
2022-03-06	IFK Goteborg	Mjallby AIF	Svenska Cupen	2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Mjallby AIF vs IFK Goteborg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.6%, draw 27.5%, away 32.0%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.25	3.45	2.95
1xBet	2.30	3.44	2.93
Bet365	2.35	3.40	2.90
BetVictor	2.25	3.40	2.80
Betano	2.32	3.35	2.92
Betfair	2.25	3.40	2.90
Dafabet	2.34	3.50	3.00
Marathonbet	2.28	3.44	2.92
Pinnacle	2.34	3.52	3.02
SBO	2.28	3.23	2.78
Superbet	2.30	3.40	2.92
Unibet	2.33	3.40	2.85
William Hill	2.30	3.30	2.88

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▲ +0.28

X 3.40 ▼ -0.20

2 2.92 ▼ -0.38

14 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-01T08:10:01Z.