Allsvenskan · Full time ·Matchday 21

BK Hacken vs Mjallby AIF

1 – 1 Full time

11′Jesper Gustavsson
17′Jacob Bergstrom
36′Adam LundqvistOlle Samuelsson
56′Julius Lindberg
62′Mads EnggardÁki Samuelsen
72′Mikkel Rygaard JensenMads Agger
75′Ali YoussefJeppe Kjaer Jensen
86′Gustav LindgrenWilson Elliot Lindberg Uhrström
86′David SegerSimen Hestnes

Nordic Wellness Arena, GothenburgReferee: Granit Maqedonci, Sweden

BK Hacken 62%
Draw 22%
Mjallby AIF 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
58 Possession % 42
6 Corners 8
7 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 0
3 Saves 6
469 Accurate passes 313

BK Hacken vs Mjallby AIF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: BK Hacken vs Mjallby AIF

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBK HackenDrawMjallby AIF
Model66.9%21.0%12.1%
Market60.3%21.9%17.8%
Final62.0%21.7%16.4%
Edge+6.5%-0.8%-5.7%

Confidence: Low

Why BK Hacken

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 0.81.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices BK Hacken below the model: +6.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

BK Hacken ↓ / Mjallby AIF → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 10% 10% 2 12% 10% 3 9% 7% 4+ 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

BK Hacken and Mjallby AIF expected goals

BK Hacken 2.13
Mjallby AIF 0.81

Total expected goals: 2.93

BK Hacken and Mjallby AIF attack and defence ratings

BK Hacken

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Mjallby AIF

Attack 0.66 -34%
Defence 1.44 +44%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

BK Hacken vs Mjallby AIF: result vs prediction

BK Hacken 1 – 1 Mjallby AIF

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 21 fixtures

Allsvenskan

Before and after this match

BK Hacken vs Mjallby AIF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 BK Hacken 62.0% 1.61 +6.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.2% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score No 50.3% 1.99 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.6% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 BK Hacken win 43.6% 2.30 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2BK Hacken62.0%
Draw21.7%
Mjallby AIF16.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.2%
Under 2.543.8%
Both teams to scoreYes49.7%
No50.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.6%
12 (either side)78.3%
X2 (draw or away)38.0%
Handicap -1BK Hacken win43.6%
Push (exactly one goal)23.3%
Loss33.1%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.0%
1-010.4%
1-110.0%

BK Hacken vs Mjallby AIF stats

BK Hacken and Mjallby AIF recent form

newest first
BK Hacken DLWWWL
Mjallby AIF LLLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

BK Hacken and Mjallby AIF going into this match

league record before kick-off

BK Hacken record

  • They have won 8 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 20 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mjallby AIF record

  • They have won 5 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 19 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 19 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

BK Hacken vs Mjallby AIF head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4BK Hacken wins 1Draws 5Mjallby AIF wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-17Mjallby AIFBK HackenAllsvenskan0-1
2026-03-27BK HackenMjallby AIFFriendlies Clubs2-2
2025-11-09Mjallby AIFBK HackenAllsvenskan1-0
2025-04-12BK HackenMjallby AIFAllsvenskan0-3
2025-03-08Mjallby AIFBK HackenSvenska Cupen0-1
2024-05-29Mjallby AIFBK HackenAllsvenskan2-1
2024-03-31BK HackenMjallby AIFAllsvenskan0-1
2023-10-29Mjallby AIFBK HackenAllsvenskan2-1
2023-06-11BK HackenMjallby AIFAllsvenskan3-0
2023-05-18Mjallby AIFBK HackenSvenska Cupen1-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

BK Hacken vs Mjallby AIF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 59.4%, draw 22.2%, away 18.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.60 4.10 5.10
1xBet 1.57 4.25 5.11
888Sport 1.62 3.90 4.60
Bet365 1.53 4.33 5.50
BetVictor 1.50 4.20 5.25
Betano 1.65 4.15 4.55
Betfair 1.60 4.20 4.75
Dafabet 1.64 4.30 4.80
Marathonbet 1.55 4.25 5.20
Pinnacle 1.55 4.50 5.57
SBO 1.55 3.77 4.22
Superbet 1.63 4.20 4.55
Unibet 1.57 4.00 5.30
William Hill 1.53 4.00 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.54 ▼ -0.15
X 4.25 ▲ +0.25
2 5.22 ▲ +0.94

13 snapshots recorded, from .