Allsvenskan · 2026-09-14T17:20:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 21

Sirius vs Degerfors IF

2 – 0 Full time

2′			Ahmad Faqa
12′			Kazper Karlssongideon yaw yiriyon
16′			Jesper Uneken
44′			Melker Heier
51′			Karim Boutera
58′			Zalán VancsaN. Jönsson
68′			Robin DzabicArman Taranis
68′			Noel MilleskogLudvig Fritzson
77′			Victor SvenssonCharlie Nildén
88′			Isak BjerkeboSimon Sandberg
88′			Jesper UnekenOdera Samuel Onuchukwu Adindu

Studenternas IP, UppsalaReferee: Kristoffer Karlsson, Sweden

Sirius

62%

Draw

22%

Degerfors IF

16%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

16	Shots	15
8	Shots on target	7
42	Possession %	58
7	Corners	7
15	Fouls	7
2	Offsides	2
7	Saves	7
379	Accurate passes	542

Sirius vs Degerfors IF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sirius vs Degerfors IF

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Sirius	Draw	Degerfors IF
Model	54.2%	24.3%	21.5%
Market	64.7%	21.0%	14.2%
Final	62.1%	21.9%	16.1%
Edge	-10.6%	+3.3%	+7.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Sirius

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.14.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

94%

2+ goals

82%

3+ goals

59%

No goals

Sirius and Degerfors IF expected goals

Sirius

1.91

Degerfors IF

1.14

Total expected goals: 3.04

Sirius and Degerfors IF attack and defence ratings

Sirius

Attack

1.23 +23%

Defence

0.93 -7%

Degerfors IF

Attack

0.92 -8%

Defence

1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sirius vs Degerfors IF: result vs prediction

Sirius 2 – 0 Degerfors IF

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 21 fixtures

Allsvenskan

BK Hacken v Mjallby AIF — match page · 2026-09-11
AIK Stockholm vs Vasteras SK FK — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
IFK Goteborg vs Halmstad · 2026-09-12
Hammarby FF v IF Brommapojkarna — match page · 2026-09-13
IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF — team news & stats · 2026-09-13
Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS · 2026-09-13
Djurgardens IF v Gais — match page · 2026-09-14

Before and after this match

Sirius, previous: Vasteras SK FK – Sirius, 2026-09-05
Sirius, next: Orgryte IS v Sirius analysis
Degerfors IF, previous: Degerfors IF vs Halmstad prediction
Degerfors IF, next: Degerfors IF v Hammarby FF analysis

Sirius vs Degerfors IF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Sirius	62.1%	1.61	-10.6%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	58.6%	1.71	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	58.9%	1.70	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	83.9%	1.19	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	45.7%	2.19	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Sirius	62.1%
	Draw	21.9%
	Degerfors IF	16.1%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	58.6%
	Under 2.5	41.4%
Both teams to score	Yes	58.9%
	No	41.1%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	83.9%
	12 (either side)	78.1%
	X2 (draw or away)	37.9%
Handicap -1	Sirius win	32.1%
	Push (exactly one goal)	22.2%
	Loss	45.7%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	11.4%
	2-1	9.8%
	2-0	8.6%

Sirius vs Degerfors IF stats

Sirius and Degerfors IF recent form

newest first

Sirius	WLWLLD
Degerfors IF	WLLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sirius and Degerfors IF going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sirius record

They have won 14 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
They have kept 6 clean sheets in 20 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Degerfors IF record

They have won 5 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
They have failed to score in 9 of 20 matches.

Sirius vs Degerfors IF head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Sirius wins 3Draws 1Degerfors IF wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-04	Degerfors IF	Sirius	Allsvenskan	0-3
2026-01-24	Sirius	Degerfors IF	Friendlies Clubs	2-1
2025-09-21	Sirius	Degerfors IF	Allsvenskan	1-3
2025-05-03	Degerfors IF	Sirius	Allsvenskan	1-1
2024-01-27	Sirius	Degerfors IF	Friendlies Clubs	1-1
2023-10-01	Sirius	Degerfors IF	Allsvenskan	3-2
2023-07-15	Degerfors IF	Sirius	Allsvenskan	0-3
2022-10-08	Degerfors IF	Sirius	Allsvenskan	0-0
2022-07-17	Sirius	Degerfors IF	Allsvenskan	2-0
2021-09-18	Degerfors IF	Sirius	Allsvenskan	1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sirius vs Degerfors IF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 64.9%, draw 21.0%, away 14.1%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	1.40	4.75	6.60
1xBet	1.43	4.40	7.09
888Sport	1.40	4.33	7.00
Bet365	1.45	4.33	6.50
BetVictor	1.40	4.40	6.50
Betano	1.45	4.45	6.40
Betfair	1.40	4.75	6.50
Dafabet	1.45	4.80	6.60
Marathonbet	1.42	4.40	7.10
Pinnacle	1.48	4.57	6.54
SBO	1.37	4.12	5.61
Unibet	1.38	4.75	7.00
William Hill	1.44	4.20	6.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.43 ▲ +0.07

X 4.40 ▼ -0.40

2 6.50 ▼ -1.25

15 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-07T16:10:02Z.