Orgryte IS
vs
Sirius
1 – 2 Full time
| 7′ | Henrik Castegren | ||
| 62′ | Victor Svensson | ||
| 65′ | Marcus Lindberg | ||
| 67′ | Anton Andreassonmichael parker | ||
| 68′ | Adam AnderssonDavid Obou | ||
| 72′ | Zalán VancsaN. Jönsson | ||
| 72′ | Victor SvenssonCharlie Nildén | ||
| 80′ | Mikael DyrestamLiam Filip Andersson | ||
| 80′ | Owen Parker PriceMarlon Ebietomere | ||
| 83′ | Isak BjerkeboSimon Sandberg | ||
| 85′ | Charlie Nildén | ||
| 90′ | S.Lagerlund |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 0 |
| 450 | Accurate passes | 361 |
Orgryte IS vs Sirius overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Orgryte IS vs Sirius
| Probability | Orgryte IS | Draw | Sirius |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.0% | 22.8% | 55.2% |
| Market | 17.3% | 21.0% | 61.7% |
| Final | 18.5% | 21.5% | 60.1% |
| Edge | +4.8% | +1.8% | -6.5% |
Why Sirius
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 1.28.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Orgryte IS and Sirius expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.37
Orgryte IS and Sirius attack and defence ratings
Orgryte IS
Sirius
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Orgryte IS vs Sirius: result vs prediction
Orgryte IS 1 – 2 Sirius
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
Before and after this match
Orgryte IS vs Sirius markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sirius | 60.1% | 1.66 | -6.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orgryte IS | 18.5% |
| Draw | 21.5% | |
| Sirius | 60.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.2% |
| No | 35.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sirius win | 33.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 44.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-2 | 7.5% |
Orgryte IS vs Sirius stats
Orgryte IS and Sirius recent form
| Orgryte IS |
LDLWDL |
| Sirius |
WWLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Orgryte IS and Sirius going into this match
Orgryte IS record
- They have won 3 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 21 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sirius record
- They have won 15 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Orgryte IS vs Sirius head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Sirius | Orgryte IS | Allsvenskan | 2-0 |
| 2016-10-17 | Sirius | Orgryte IS | Superettan | 4-1 |
| 2016-05-15 | Orgryte IS | Sirius | Superettan | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Orgryte IS vs Sirius odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 17.3%, draw 21.0%, away 61.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.47 | 4.45 | 1.51 |
| Bet365 | 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.53 |
| BetVictor | 5.25 | 4.20 | 1.50 |
| Betano | 5.30 | 4.40 | 1.53 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 4.50 | 1.47 |
| Marathonbet | 5.45 | 4.45 | 1.50 |
| Pinnacle | 5.36 | 4.61 | 1.56 |
| SBO | 4.82 | 3.98 | 1.45 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .