BK Hacken
vs
Orgryte IS
Garuda Lions Prediction: BK Hacken
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS overview
Garuda Lions analysis: BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS
| Probability | BK Hacken | Draw | Orgryte IS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.2% | 20.8% | 15.0% |
| Market | 71.4% | 16.9% | 11.7% |
| Final | 69.6% | 17.9% | 12.5% |
| Edge | -7.2% | +3.9% | +3.4% |
Why BK Hacken
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.34, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS match preview
BK Hacken faces Orgryte IS in the Allsvenskan with a strong probability of victory for the home side at 70%. The expected goals for BK Hacken is 2.25, while Orgryte IS is at 1.02, indicating a significant disparity in offensive output. Recent form shows BK Hacken with two wins and a draw in their last five matches, contrasting with Orgryte IS, who have struggled with two losses and a draw in their last five.
The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1, with a 10% probability. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams have a 58% likelihood of scoring. Historically, in their last encounter, Orgryte IS secured a win against BK Hacken, which adds an interesting dynamic to this matchup.
BK Hacken and Orgryte IS team news
BK Hacken news
- B. Engdahl — lower-body injury
- F. Ohman — shoulder injury
Orgryte IS news
- A. Abukar — knee injury
- J. Tibbling — muscle injury
- R. Alm — injury
- V. Ekblom — thigh injury
- W. Svensson — foot injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
BK Hacken and Orgryte IS expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.28
BK Hacken and Orgryte IS attack and defence ratings
BK Hacken
Orgryte IS
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BK Hacken | 69.6% | 1.44 | -7.2% | 1.34 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.5% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | BK Hacken win | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BK Hacken | 69.6% |
| Draw | 17.9% | |
| Orgryte IS | 12.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.1% |
| No | 41.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | BK Hacken win | 42.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 35.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.8% |
| 2-0 | 9.6% | |
| 1-1 | 9.6% |
BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS stats
BK Hacken and Orgryte IS recent form
| BK Hacken |
WDDLWW |
| Orgryte IS |
LLDLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
BK Hacken and Orgryte IS season so far
BK Hacken record
- They have won 8 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 21 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Orgryte IS record
- They have won 3 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 21 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Orgryte IS | BK Hacken | Allsvenskan | 4-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.4%, draw 16.9%, away 11.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.31 | 5.60 | 7.85 |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 5.75 | 8.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 5.25 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.34 | 5.50 | 7.20 |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 5.50 | 8.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.33 | 6.00 | 7.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.30 | 5.60 | 7.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32 | 5.22 | 8.57 |
| SBO | 1.29 | 4.84 | 6.18 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .