Malmo FF vs BK Hacken Prediction — 18 Oct 2026

Malmo FF vs BK Hacken overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Malmo FF vs BK Hacken

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Malmo FF	Draw	BK Hacken
Model	35.4%	29.2%	35.5%
Market	35.7%	26.0%	38.3%
Final	35.6%	26.8%	37.6%
Edge	-0.3%	+3.2%	-2.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

91%

2+ goals

74%

3+ goals

47%

No goals

9%

Malmo FF and BK Hacken expected goals

Malmo FF

1.28

BK Hacken

1.28

Total expected goals: 2.56

Malmo FF and BK Hacken attack and defence ratings

Malmo FF

Attack

1.11 +11%

Defence

0.76 -24%

BK Hacken

Attack

1.25 +25%

Defence

0.75 -25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Malmo FF vs BK Hacken: result vs prediction

Malmo FF 0 – 1 BK Hacken

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

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Before and after this match

Malmo FF, previous: Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF: odds and pick
Malmo FF, next: IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF: odds and pick
BK Hacken, previous: BK Hacken – Orgryte IS, 2026-10-11
BK Hacken, next: BK Hacken – Degerfors IF, 2026-10-24

Malmo FF vs BK Hacken markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	BK Hacken	37.6%	2.66	-2.9%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	52.9%	1.89	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	53.4%	1.87	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	73.2%	1.37	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	64.6%	1.55	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Malmo FF	35.6%
	Draw	26.8%
	BK Hacken	37.6%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	47.1%
	Under 2.5	52.9%
Both teams to score	Yes	53.4%
	No	46.6%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	62.4%
	12 (either side)	73.2%
	X2 (draw or away)	64.4%
Handicap -1	BK Hacken win	16.2%
	Push (exactly one goal)	19.3%
	Loss	64.6%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	13.9%
	0-0	9.0%
	0-1	8.6%

Malmo FF vs BK Hacken stats

Malmo FF and BK Hacken recent form

newest first

Malmo FF	WLWDWW
BK Hacken	WWDDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Malmo FF and BK Hacken going into this match

league record before kick-off

Malmo FF record

They have won 11 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

BK Hacken record

They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
They have kept 9 clean sheets in 23 matches.
They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Malmo FF vs BK Hacken head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Malmo FF wins 4Draws 4BK Hacken wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-05-10	BK Hacken	Malmo FF	Allsvenskan	3-2
2025-11-01	BK Hacken	Malmo FF	Allsvenskan	1-1
2025-06-01	Malmo FF	BK Hacken	Allsvenskan	3-0
2025-05-29	Malmo FF	BK Hacken	Svenska Cupen	0-0
2024-09-22	Malmo FF	BK Hacken	Allsvenskan	4-0
2024-05-20	BK Hacken	Malmo FF	Allsvenskan	2-2
2023-11-05	BK Hacken	Malmo FF	Allsvenskan	4-2
2023-05-21	Malmo FF	BK Hacken	Allsvenskan	2-2
2022-10-23	BK Hacken	Malmo FF	Allsvenskan	2-1
2022-05-22	Malmo FF	BK Hacken	Allsvenskan	1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Malmo FF vs BK Hacken odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.8%, draw 26.0%, away 38.2%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.60	3.58	2.43
Bet365	2.62	3.60	2.45
BetVictor	2.50	3.60	2.38
Betano	2.57	3.55	2.52
Betfair	2.50	3.80	2.50
Dafabet	2.60	3.70	2.50
Marathonbet	2.60	3.58	2.43
Pinnacle	2.70	3.76	2.46
SBO	2.35	3.28	2.38
William Hill	2.62	3.50	2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.61 ▲ +0.34

X 3.59 ▼ -0.11

2 2.43 ▼ -0.33

13 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-12T08:10:03Z.