Sirius
vs
IF Elfsborg
2 – 2 Full time
| 20′ | Julius Beck | ||
| 39′ | Ari Sigurpalsson | ||
| 43′ | Victor Svensson | ||
| 53′ | Thomas Isherwood | ||
| 60′ | Victor SvenssonAdam Vikman | ||
| 62′ | Simon OlssonOssian nordvall | ||
| 62′ | Ari SigurpalssonArbër Zeneli | ||
| 70′ | Joakim Persson | ||
| 73′ | Joakim Persson | ||
| 78′ | Mohamed Soumah | ||
| 83′ | Ake AnderssonOtso Liimatta | ||
| 87′ | Leo Hakan Ostman | ||
| 90′ | Julius BeckSimon Hedlund | ||
| 90′ | Momoh Ibrahim KamaraPer Frick |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 449 | Accurate passes | 401 |
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sirius vs IF Elfsborg
| Probability | Sirius | Draw | IF Elfsborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.8% | 29.8% | 38.4% |
| Market | 43.5% | 26.7% | 29.8% |
| Final | 40.6% | 27.5% | 31.9% |
| Edge | -11.7% | +3.1% | +8.6% |
Why Sirius
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sirius and IF Elfsborg expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.45
Sirius and IF Elfsborg attack and defence ratings
Sirius
IF Elfsborg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: result vs prediction
Sirius 2 – 2 IF Elfsborg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sirius | 40.6% | 2.47 | -11.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sirius | 40.6% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| IF Elfsborg | 31.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% |
| No | 48.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sirius win | 13.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 68.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-0 | 9.9% | |
| 0-1 | 9.9% |
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg stats
Sirius and IF Elfsborg recent form
| Sirius |
WWWWLW |
| IF Elfsborg |
WWWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sirius and IF Elfsborg going into this match
Sirius record
- They have won 17 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IF Elfsborg record
- They have won 11 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | IF Elfsborg | Sirius | Allsvenskan | 1-3 |
| 2026-03-08 | IF Elfsborg | Sirius | Svenska Cupen | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-26 | Sirius | IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan | 4-0 |
| 2025-04-23 | IF Elfsborg | Sirius | Allsvenskan | 4-3 |
| 2024-10-06 | Sirius | IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan | 4-1 |
| 2024-04-29 | IF Elfsborg | Sirius | Allsvenskan | 2-0 |
| 2023-08-06 | IF Elfsborg | Sirius | Allsvenskan | 1-0 |
| 2023-05-08 | Sirius | IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan | 3-4 |
| 2022-09-18 | IF Elfsborg | Sirius | Allsvenskan | 3-0 |
| 2022-05-14 | Sirius | IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.0%, draw 26.6%, away 29.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.14 | 3.48 | 3.16 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.55 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.08 | 3.65 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.48 | 3.16 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.60 | 3.24 |
| SBO | 2.03 | 3.11 | 2.99 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .