IF Elfsborg
vs
Halmstad
Garuda Lions Prediction: IF Elfsborg
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad overview
Garuda Lions analysis: IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad
| Probability | IF Elfsborg | Draw | Halmstad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.4% | 24.8% | 12.8% |
| Market | 70.4% | 18.2% | 11.4% |
| Final | 68.4% | 19.8% | 11.8% |
| Edge | -8.0% | +6.6% | +1.4% |
Why IF Elfsborg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.36, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad match preview
IF Elfsborg enters the match against Halmstad with a strong probability of winning at 68%, while Halmstad stands at 12%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0, occurring with a 14% likelihood. The expected goals for IF Elfsborg are 1.76, significantly higher than Halmstad's 0.68. In terms of goal-scoring potential, there is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance that both teams will score.
Recent form shows IF Elfsborg with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, while Halmstad has two wins, one draw, and two losses during the same period. In their last three encounters, both teams have each secured one win, alongside one draw. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
IF Elfsborg and Halmstad expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.44
IF Elfsborg and Halmstad attack and defence ratings
IF Elfsborg
Halmstad
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IF Elfsborg | 68.4% | 1.46 | -8.0% | 1.36 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 37.5% | 2.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IF Elfsborg | 68.4% |
| Draw | 19.8% | |
| Halmstad | 11.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.9% |
| No | 58.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 31.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | IF Elfsborg win | 37.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.5% | |
| Loss | 37.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.3% |
| 2-0 | 13.5% | |
| 1-1 | 11.5% |
IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad stats
IF Elfsborg and Halmstad recent form
| IF Elfsborg |
WWLWDW |
| Halmstad |
WLLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
IF Elfsborg and Halmstad season so far
IF Elfsborg record
- They have won 9 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Halmstad record
- They have won 2 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 21 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Halmstad | IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-24 | IF Elfsborg | Halmstad | Allsvenskan | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-25 | Halmstad | IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 70.4%, draw 18.2%, away 11.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.32 | 5.20 | 8.35 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 5.25 | 8.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.36 | 4.90 | 7.70 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.35 | 5.20 | 8.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.31 | 5.20 | 8.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31 | 5.35 | 8.61 |
| SBO | 1.30 | 4.45 | 6.66 |
| William Hill | 1.33 | 4.80 | 8.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .