IFK Goteborg
vs
Vasteras SK FK
1 – 0 Full time
IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK
| Probability | IFK Goteborg | Draw | Vasteras SK FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.8% | 26.7% | 25.6% |
| Market | 53.8% | 23.6% | 22.6% |
| Final | 52.3% | 24.4% | 23.3% |
| Edge | -6.1% | +3.1% | +3.0% |
Why IFK Goteborg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.16.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
IFK Goteborg and Vasteras SK FK expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.81
IFK Goteborg and Vasteras SK FK attack and defence ratings
IFK Goteborg
Vasteras SK FK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK: result vs prediction
IFK Goteborg 1 – 0 Vasteras SK FK
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IFK Goteborg | 52.3% | 1.91 | -6.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.2% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IFK Goteborg | 52.3% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Vasteras SK FK | 23.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% |
| No | 43.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | IFK Goteborg win | 25.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 52.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-0 | 8.8% |
IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK stats
IFK Goteborg and Vasteras SK FK recent form
| IFK Goteborg |
WWWWWD |
| Vasteras SK FK |
WWLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
IFK Goteborg and Vasteras SK FK going into this match
IFK Goteborg record
- They have won 9 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vasteras SK FK record
- They have won 10 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.
IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Vasteras SK FK | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan | 4-5 |
| 2024-09-26 | Vasteras SK FK | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan | 1-1 |
| 2024-07-21 | IFK Goteborg | Vasteras SK FK | Allsvenskan | 1-1 |
| 2020-02-22 | IFK Goteborg | Vasteras SK FK | Svenska Cupen | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.8%, draw 23.6%, away 22.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 4.05 | 4.03 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.85 | 4.25 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.76 | 4.00 | 4.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.72 | 4.05 | 4.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76 | 4.10 | 4.26 |
| SBO | 1.73 | 3.73 | 3.85 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .