Allsvenskan · 2026-10-17T15:30:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 24

AIK Stockholm vs IFK Goteborg

2 – 2 Full time

27′			Nino Žugelj
36′			Diogo Tomas
45′			Nino ŽugeljKevin Ackermann
59′			Linus CarlstrandSixten Gustafsson
68′			Alexander Simmelhack
71′			Taha Ayarilinus jareteg
71′			Lukas BergquistS. Wilson
75′			axel kouame
82′			Tobias HeintzIssaka Seidu
86′			Lucas AssadiYannick Emilio Geiger
87′			Wilmer OlofssonHerve Matthys
90′			Felix ErikssonEmil Carl Olof Fasth
90′			Sam Larsson

Strawberry Arena, SolnaReferee: Kristoffer Karlsson

AIK Stockholm

34%

Draw

25%

IFK Goteborg

42%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

12	Shots	14
3	Shots on target	6
54	Possession %	46
3	Corners	4
10	Fouls	16
1	Offsides	2
3	Saves	1
362	Accurate passes	289

AIK Stockholm vs IFK Goteborg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: AIK Stockholm vs IFK Goteborg

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	AIK Stockholm	Draw	IFK Goteborg
Model	22.9%	22.2%	54.8%
Market	37.2%	25.6%	37.2%
Final	33.6%	24.8%	41.6%
Edge	-14.2%	-3.4%	+17.7%

Confidence: Low

Why IFK Goteborg

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.37.
Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
The market prices IFK Goteborg below the model: +17.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

96%

2+ goals

88%

3+ goals

69%

No goals

AIK Stockholm and IFK Goteborg expected goals

AIK Stockholm

1.37

IFK Goteborg

2.17

Total expected goals: 3.54

AIK Stockholm and IFK Goteborg attack and defence ratings

AIK Stockholm

Attack

1.28 +28%

Defence

1.36 +36%

IFK Goteborg

Attack

1.19 +19%

Defence

0.70 -30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

AIK Stockholm vs IFK Goteborg: result vs prediction

AIK Stockholm 2 – 2 IFK Goteborg

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 24 fixtures

Allsvenskan

IF Brommapojkarna vs Djurgardens IF · 2026-10-16
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg — team news & stats · 2026-10-18
Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF · 2026-10-18
Malmo FF v BK Hacken — match page · 2026-10-18
Halmstad vs Hammarby FF · 2026-10-18
Orgryte IS v Gais — match page · 2026-10-18
Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF — team news & stats · 2026-10-19

Before and after this match

AIK Stockholm, previous: AIK Stockholm – IF Brommapojkarna, 2026-10-10
AIK Stockholm, next: Sirius v AIK Stockholm analysis
IFK Goteborg, previous: IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK prediction
IFK Goteborg, next: Gais – IFK Goteborg, 2026-10-25

AIK Stockholm vs IFK Goteborg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	IFK Goteborg	41.6%	2.40	+17.7%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	68.7%	1.46	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	67.0%	1.49	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	75.2%	1.33	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	45.2%	2.21	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	AIK Stockholm	33.6%
	Draw	24.8%
	IFK Goteborg	41.6%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	68.7%
	Under 2.5	31.3%
Both teams to score	Yes	67.0%
	No	33.0%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	58.4%
	12 (either side)	75.2%
	X2 (draw or away)	66.4%
Handicap -1	IFK Goteborg win	34.1%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.8%
	Loss	45.2%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	9.5%
	1-2	9.4%
	0-2	6.8%

AIK Stockholm vs IFK Goteborg stats

AIK Stockholm and IFK Goteborg recent form

newest first

AIK Stockholm	LLDLDW
IFK Goteborg	WWWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

AIK Stockholm and IFK Goteborg going into this match

league record before kick-off

AIK Stockholm record

They have won 9 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IFK Goteborg record

They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

AIK Stockholm vs IFK Goteborg head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6AIK Stockholm wins 2Draws 2IFK Goteborg wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-07-05	IFK Goteborg	AIK Stockholm	Allsvenskan	1-2
2025-08-17	IFK Goteborg	AIK Stockholm	Allsvenskan	2-1
2025-06-29	AIK Stockholm	IFK Goteborg	Allsvenskan	3-0
2024-10-21	IFK Goteborg	AIK Stockholm	Allsvenskan	1-2
2024-05-27	AIK Stockholm	IFK Goteborg	Allsvenskan	5-2
2023-11-06	IFK Goteborg	AIK Stockholm	Allsvenskan	1-1
2023-05-15	AIK Stockholm	IFK Goteborg	Allsvenskan	2-2
2022-10-24	IFK Goteborg	AIK Stockholm	Allsvenskan	1-0
2022-05-07	AIK Stockholm	IFK Goteborg	Allsvenskan	1-0
2021-09-20	AIK Stockholm	IFK Goteborg	Allsvenskan	3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

AIK Stockholm vs IFK Goteborg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.0%, draw 25.6%, away 37.4%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.48	3.65	2.51
Bet365	2.60	3.60	2.50
BetVictor	2.50	3.50	2.45
Betano	2.55	3.65	2.47
Betfair	2.55	3.75	2.50
Dafabet	2.55	3.70	2.55
Marathonbet	2.48	3.65	2.51
Pinnacle	2.61	3.84	2.50
SBO	2.38	3.26	2.36
William Hill	2.50	3.50	2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.50 ▲ +0.01

X 3.62 ▼ -0.02

2 2.50 ▼ -0.01

13 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-11T08:10:02Z.