Allsvenskan · 2026-10-18T12:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 24

Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF

1 – 0 Full time

17′			Jeppe Kjaer Jensen
20′			Axel Sountonoma Taonsa
35′			Abdelrahman Saidi
35′			Tony Miettinen
45′			Olle LindbergÁki Samuelsen
45′			Jack TagessonFrédéric Nsabiyumva
56′			Abdullah IqbalMads Enggard
77′			Max NielsenLudvig Tidstrand
78′			Mattias HellisdalJonathan Ring
78′			Abdelrahman Saidikarl gunnarsson
90′			Mamadou DiagnePeter Amoran
90′			Ludvig Tidstrand

Hitachi Energy Arena, WesterosReferee: Fredrik Klitte

Vasteras SK FK

45%

Draw

27%

Mjallby AIF

28%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

22	Shots	11
9	Shots on target	3
52	Possession %	48
4	Corners	5
21	Fouls	19
3	Offsides	1
3	Saves	8
382	Accurate passes	310

Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Vasteras SK FK	Draw	Mjallby AIF
Model	61.1%	24.9%	13.9%
Market	40.2%	27.1%	32.7%
Final	45.4%	26.5%	28.0%
Edge	+20.9%	-2.1%	-18.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Vasteras SK FK

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 0.73.
Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
The market prices Vasteras SK FK below the model: +20.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

91%

2+ goals

72%

3+ goals

46%

No goals

Vasteras SK FK and Mjallby AIF expected goals

Vasteras SK FK

1.77

Mjallby AIF

0.73

Total expected goals: 2.50

Vasteras SK FK and Mjallby AIF attack and defence ratings

Vasteras SK FK

Attack

1.00 +0%

Defence

0.83 -17%

Mjallby AIF

Attack

0.65 -35%

Defence

1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF: result vs prediction

Vasteras SK FK 1 – 0 Mjallby AIF

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 24 fixtures

Allsvenskan

IF Brommapojkarna vs Djurgardens IF · 2026-10-16
AIK Stockholm vs IFK Goteborg — team news & stats · 2026-10-17
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg — team news & stats · 2026-10-18
Malmo FF v BK Hacken — match page · 2026-10-18
Halmstad vs Hammarby FF · 2026-10-18
Orgryte IS v Gais — match page · 2026-10-18
Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF — team news & stats · 2026-10-19

Before and after this match

Vasteras SK FK, previous: IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK prediction
Vasteras SK FK, next: Vasteras SK FK vs Halmstad: odds and pick
Mjallby AIF, previous: Mjallby AIF – Inter Club d'Escaldes, 2026-10-15
Mjallby AIF, next: FC Iberia 1999 v Mjallby AIF analysis

Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Vasteras SK FK	45.4%	2.20	+20.9%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	54.5%	1.84	—	—
Both teams to score	No	56.0%	1.79	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	73.5%	1.36	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	38.9%	2.57	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Vasteras SK FK	45.4%
	Draw	26.5%
	Mjallby AIF	28.0%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	45.5%
	Under 2.5	54.5%
Both teams to score	Yes	44.0%
	No	56.0%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	72.0%
	12 (either side)	73.5%
	X2 (draw or away)	54.6%
Handicap -1	Vasteras SK FK win	36.0%
	Push (exactly one goal)	25.1%
	Loss	38.9%
Correct score (top 3)	1-0	13.5%
	2-0	12.8%
	1-1	11.7%

Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF stats

Vasteras SK FK and Mjallby AIF recent form

newest first

Vasteras SK FK	LWWLWD
Mjallby AIF	WDLLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Vasteras SK FK and Mjallby AIF going into this match

league record before kick-off

Vasteras SK FK record

They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.

Mjallby AIF record

They have won 5 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
They have failed to score in 9 of 23 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Vasteras SK FK wins 2Draws 3Mjallby AIF wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-07-17	Mjallby AIF	Vasteras SK FK	Allsvenskan	0-0
2024-10-05	Mjallby AIF	Vasteras SK FK	Allsvenskan	2-1
2024-04-25	Vasteras SK FK	Mjallby AIF	Allsvenskan	2-1
2024-02-25	Mjallby AIF	Vasteras SK FK	Svenska Cupen	2-0
2019-10-19	Vasteras SK FK	Mjallby AIF	Superettan	2-2
2019-04-13	Mjallby AIF	Vasteras SK FK	Superettan	2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.2%, draw 27.1%, away 32.7%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.32	3.48	2.84
Bet365	2.35	3.40	2.90
BetVictor	2.25	3.40	2.80
Betano	2.35	3.40	2.87
Betfair	2.30	3.60	2.80
Dafabet	2.41	3.50	2.85
Marathonbet	2.30	3.48	2.83
Pinnacle	2.40	3.46	2.97
SBO	2.23	3.13	2.61
William Hill	2.30	3.30	2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.31 —

X 3.43 ▼ -0.05

2 2.83 —

13 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-12T08:10:03Z.